And the SAGs go to… exactly who you expected!

Kelly Tue, Feb 6, 2007 at 01:17 AM EST

The only way I will be dissapointed if Jennifer Hudson and Helen Mirren don't win because they had the best performances. And for people talking about JHud she had moviegoers at their feet and I was one of them anybody that can do that deserves to win an Oscar I have never seen that before in my life.

Katie Ann Tue, Feb 6, 2007 at 01:02 AM EST

First of all the only people that are going to win on Oscar night for sure are JHud and Helen Mirren everybody else is up for grabs. The only person if they lose that will be considered a major upset and have the media,critics and hollywood in a frenzy is JHud.Now I've seen eveybody and these two really deserved it and I think JHud rocked and her first movie and stoled the show from a starstudded cast. No one expected her to be that good and thats the truth.

Doug O'Connor Tue, Jan 30, 2007 at 11:34 PM EST

I have absolutely NO INTENTION of watching this farce of an Awards Show, this year, or anytime in the foreseeable future. After last year's totally "contrived" Best Picture Oscar result, I have lost all respect for the Academy, (as a whole, not individual members) and consider their decisions as to what constitutes an "Oscar-worthy" film as totally irrelevant and not even worth consideration. If I could watch the INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARDS, which take place the day before, I would. As this is a more true representation of what an Awards show should be, as it is a somewhat "low-key" and more "honest" affair.
Myself, and countless others have chosen not to waist our valuable time with the shameless travesty that has become the Academy Awards Show. I, for one, and I know several others as well, will be spending our Sunday evening in more enjoyable and profitable pursuits, such as watching last year's TRUE BEST PICTURE: BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN!

Sincerely,

Doug O'Connor

Doug O'Connor Tue, Jan 30, 2007 at 11:32 PM EST

I have absolutely NO INTENTION of watching this farce of an Awards Show, this year, or anytime in the foreseeable future. After last year's totally "contrived" Best Picture Oscar result, I have lost all respect for the Academy, (as a whole, not individual members) and consider their decisions as to what constitutes an "Oscar-worthy" film as totally irrelevant and not even worth consideration. If I could watch the INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARDS, which take place the day before, I would. As this is a more true representation of what an Awards show should be, as it is a somewhat "low-key" and more "honest" affair.
Myself, and countless others have chosen not to waist our valuable time with the shameless travesty that has become the Academy Awards Show. I, for one, and I know several others as well, will be spending our Sunday evening in more enjoyable and profitable pursuits, such as watching last year's TRUE BEST PICTURE: BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN!

Sincerely,

Doug O'Connor

Brenda Tue, Jan 30, 2007 at 03:48 PM EST

Oh how I would love a few surprises at the Oscars. The Departed and Scorcese, Ryan Gosling (squeaking through in a freak Forest and Peter cancelling each other out thingie - like Adrian Brody did up against Daniel Day and Jack Nicholson), okay let's give it to Helen cuz she rocks, Marky Mark and Abigail Breslin. Never gonna happen though...

Sam Tue, Jan 30, 2007 at 03:43 PM EST

Fatima,

Give the kid a break, she did a great job in Little Miss Sunshine. She showed emotion and was very funny. Maybe not enought to get an Oscar nod but let's be honest Jennifer Hudson isn't that deserving either. She has a good voice but that's about it. I'm pretty sure she will win the Oscar but if I had to pick I would give it Cate. After the Oscar, let some time go by and we'll never hear about Jennifer Hudson again.

Abby Tue, Jan 30, 2007 at 11:53 AM EST

"The Academy should have a separate category for child actors (Breakthrough Child actors or Outstanding Child Actor). They shouldln't be competing with adults.
There were some amazing child performances including Jaden Smith - Will Smith's boy."

I completely agree. And if there were such a catagory I would give the award to Jaden Smith rather than Abigail Breslin. I just find her irritating and mediocre.

Fatima Tue, Jan 30, 2007 at 10:47 AM EST

What did Abigal Breslin even do in that movie except scream really loud and do a goofy Napoleon like dance? When did we start nominate for being cute?

Dominic Tue, Jan 30, 2007 at 08:38 AM EST

I'm not sure I'd call anything about Abigail Breslin precocious. It was almost the fact that she wasn't precocious, like say, a Dakota Fanning, that made the performance refreshing. How she managed to pull off simultaneously knowing that she could win if she really tried and also knowing there just never was anything close to a chance without seeming self-aware or adultlike was amazing.

Tue, Jan 30, 2007 at 06:44 AM EST

Mike - "Child actors normally are irritating, but she was endearing and totally charismatic. As for best actress...that's all."

The Academy should have a separate category for child actors (Breakthrough Child actors or Outstanding Child Actor). They shouldln't be competing with adults.
There were some amazing child performances including Jaden Smith - Will Smith's boy.

JJ Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:52 PM EST

Fatima: I share your sentiments even though I really liked LMS and thought Abagail Breslin was adorable, but seriously, does she even merit a nomination? For all the criticism against Jennifer Hudson for essentially playing herself, don't you think that Abagail was basically playing the precosious (sp) 8 year old that she is? If Jennifer does not belong in a category with Cate Blanchett does anyone really think that Ms. Breslin does too?

Mike Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:06 PM EST

I would absolutely LOVE to see an upset at the Oscars. Don't get me wrong, I loved Jennifer Hudson in Dreamgirls, but Abigail Breslin stole my heart in Little Miss Sunshine. Child actors normally are irritating, but she was endearing and totally charismatic. As for best actress...that's all.

Tom Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 10:16 PM EST

the departed better win best picture. it was better than babel

Tom Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 10:15 PM EST

dame judi for notes! she was much more of a delight than helen mirren. leo dicaprio too! i think he is such a talented actor. if it wasnt for jamie foxxes one good performance in his one good film (his post oscar choices in film merit a revoke) leo would have his oscar! id love to see alan arkin win. he was potentially the best part of that movie. i think rinko kikuchi deserves the win, but i would just love to see abagail breslin win an oscar

Jill Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 09:19 PM EST

Ever think you would see the day when Eddie Murphy would be battling Mark Wahlberg for an OSCAR? I think Jennifer Hudson will win, and she'll have a long career on Broadway and in Vegas

Aaron Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 07:42 PM EST

I'm secretly hoping for Meryl Streep to trump Helen Mirren for Best Actress, impossible it may seem. If anyone still remembers Meryl's acceptance speech during the Golden Globes, they should have given her an award based on THAT! Go Meryl!!!

Fatima Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 07:37 PM EST

I will kick a thousand proverbial asses is Abigal Breslin wins. I don't think anything could make me more sick.

Monica Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 07:18 PM EST

I would love to see Marky Mark top Eddie Murphy in best supporting actor. I thought his performance was much stronger. Also, I would love to see Leo win best actor, but that is mostly because I am in love with him and would enjoy an opportunity to stare at him on my TV. He is sooo pretty!!!
I think the telecast could be okay, mainly because I still haven't figured out what is going to win Best Picture. That should keep me in suspense for most of the night. (Please don't let it be Babel!!!)

Verity Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 06:42 PM EST

Zzzzzzzzzzzzz

I have to admit, I'd love to hear Mark Wahlberg's acceptance speech. If there was going to be any upset, I'd want it to be in his category!

Ernesto Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 06:23 PM EST

It's going to be a borefest YET AGAIN!!! If anything I would love for little Abigail to win over Dreamgirl Jennifer Hudson, her only good scenes were singing...come on!!!Also Eddie Murphy an Oscar winner for this GRRR!!!!!!!! BORING!!!!!!

Jenny Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 05:35 PM EST

It is really BORING with all the winners are almost identical from all the Awards shows. It is going to be a yawner and I don't think I'm going to watch since most of the main categories are going to be the same. Whitaker,Hudson,Mirren...etc. It's like a rerun. So ridiculously predictable. What's going on with those "voters"? I want some surprises. i.e. Jennifer Hudson is going to win for sure. Helen too. Whitaker too. Murphy too...Yikes. The other nominees can just skip the Award shows and stay home.

Dominic Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 05:10 PM EST

Sally, I found "Last King" to be a bit much, though I liked James McAvoy, and "Babel" was a bit too ambitious and weighty for its own good.

Dominic Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 05:09 PM EST

Sally - Then may the same apply for them.

As it stands right now, I don't have Jennifer Hudson in my top 5 supporting performances by a female, because while the singing was fantastic, the acting was over-the-top sassy (and that's saying something, because that's inside the character she was playing). She wasn't sympathetic, and she didn't bring much depth at all to a character that has no real depth as far as the writing goes in the first place. Hudson, for me, is the most ridiculous of the front runners, and that's saying something, considering how much Eddie Murphy's performance was equally one-note and uninspiring. Both of these performances benefited immensely from the hype machine that was laid out for "Dreamgirls" all year. I'm just thankful the Academy managed to see through it and skip it for Best Picture consideration.

Sally Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 05:05 PM EST

"After finally seeing "Dreamgirls" this weekend, I'm disappointed that Murphy and Hudson are getting all the glory. Sure, the singing was good, but was the acting? Not really. I was bored."

I would like to know if anyone else was bored with another movie besides Dreamgirls? All I'm reading is boredom with Dreamgirls...surely there were other boring movies?

Sally Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 04:59 PM EST

"There would be something wrong with a world in which Eddie Murphy has an Oscar but Peter O'Toole, Kate Winslet, Glenn Close...do not."

Oh - But O'toole DOES HAVE AN OSCAR. and Glenn Close isn't making movies anymore so it seems.

Sally Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 04:56 PM EST

Domninic - "Fatima, I echo your statements about Hudson. I find it hard to justify awarding a performance in which the strengths are almost completely musical" Well, well, wouldn't Streisand and Minnelli be glad of those thoughts? Not to mention Diana Ross, and let's not forget Judy Garland and Doris Day. there are plenty of singers turned actresses, they starred in musicals if you haven't forgotten and their acting was an 'afterthought.'

Sally Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 04:46 PM EST

"I hope your right about Johnny Depp. I also think he's a great actor not to mention hot. It will be nice seeing him at awards again that is if he even get's a nod."
I disagree. Depp is sleep walking through his roles. He plays the same way each picture. At this time of his life, he's going for the money not the glory, and the best young actor out there now is Leo Dicaprio.

Corran Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 04:35 PM EST

The Departed will be the surprise win for best picture, you watch!

Sara Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 04:32 PM EST

The same people keep winning at these awards shows not necessarily because they're the best, but because the voters haven't gotten around to seeing all the films and thus only vote for the one or two films they have seen, as well as who the other awards shows tell them should win. It's all about hype and popularity.

For instance, I talked to 2 SAG actors the other night, and neither of them had seen most of the films that were nominated. One of them had only seen Dreamgirls and The Queen, so she voted for those people, and then Forest Whitaker because he was supposedly the best. The other hadn't seen Dreamgirls, but had seen The Departed, Little Miss Sunshine, and The Queen, so he voted for those people - plus he voted for Leo twice because he likes Leo. Neither had seen The Last King of Scotland, or even heard of Little Children or Half Nelson. And neither, I might add, put too much thought into who they were voting for - they were both "in a rush" when they voted.

Amy Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 04:31 PM EST

Saw Dreamgirls this weekend, and I'm still wondering what all the hype about Jennifer Hudson is about. The girl can sing, but I am not sold on her acting. Over the top, overly dramatic - I felt like she was trying too hard the whole movie. And it way bothers me that she keeps winning ACTING awards. I guess I gotta grin and bear it though since unfortunately, the bandwagon is going to take her to an Oscar win.

Wayne Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 04:18 PM EST

If there's a surprise i'd be going for, it's Will Smith for Happyness, he's just not getting enough kudos for what a great job he does in a decent film. Really amazing, it should be his year, but i know it won't be.

Keri Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:55 PM EST

Maybe it's "boring", but these actors are front-runners because they deserve the accolaides. A less deserving performer shouldn't win just to liven things up for the TV audience.

Kate Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:47 PM EST

Kelly,

I hope your right about Johnny Depp. I also think he's a great actor not to mention hot. It will be nice seeing him at awards again that is if he even get's a nod.

Elise Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:46 PM EST

I definitely think Forest Whitaker and Helen Mirren should win (although I did love Ryan Gosling's performance in Half Nelson). As good as Jennifer Hudson was, I won't be mad if Adriana Barraza is the upset. She was the most heartbraking thing in a film full of fine performances.

Nicole Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:43 PM EST

While I haven't seen The Queen or The Last King..., I would like to see the Oscars go to people who played fictional characters. I feel like the Oscars are increasingly going to actors who are portraying real people in biopics. As an aside, Kate Winslet doesn't have 5 nominations at the age of 31 for no reason...give her the statue already!!

lala Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:37 PM EST

Granted, it seems inevitable that the acting honors will go to the ones winning everything, but it's still possible they could lose (i.e. Bob Hoskins/Paul Newman, Lauren Bacall/Juliette Binoche). In my opinion, the only locks are Whitaker and Mirren. For the other categories, Alan Arkin or Jackie Earle Haley could upset and so can Abigail Breslin (my favorite performance this year and among the best of child acting performances in history).
p.s. Go Little Miss Sunshine!

Kelly Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:34 PM EST

You know, I just don't care who gets the Oscar this year...because next year, it will be all about Johnny Depp as Sweeney Todd! (whoot-whoot!)

sara Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:34 PM EST

this is the first time I can remember being so emotionally invested in a nominee - Jennifer Hudson. Her performance was astonishing and I can't wait to see her win on Oscar night. Further, while I haven't yet been able to see Forrest Whitaker or Helen Mirren's performeances, I am also very much looking forward to them and their winning won't make the night boring for me whatsoever.

What would make the night boring for me is a return to the tried-and-true give the award to the oldest regardless of whether or not they were the best. That has killed way too many Oscar telecasts for me, and I am looking forward to this one where the best performances may *gasp* actually win.

Fi Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:21 PM EST

I would like to see anyone other than Eddie Murphy win for Best Supporting Actor. I do not think he did that great and I do not see him as an Oscar Caliber Actor. He is no where near the likes of Mark Wahlberg, Djimon Hounsou and Alan Arkin.

meme Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:10 PM EST

Have seen all three movies, and all are deserving, but it will definitely be a snore of a show with four major categories (and the ones most people care about) already won. It will be worse than that year when Lord of the Rings won everything -again, deserving, but zzzzz....

Would be nice to see Ryan Gosling win. Every year there seems to be a nice young person (usually an actress a la Keira Knightley) who doesn't stand much of a chance.

pfitz Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:05 PM EST

I think Best Pix is still up for grabs, but the rest are all locks. After all, SAG members represent the biggest voting block in the Academy. I used to adore the Oscars, but all the earlier awards are now deflating the excitement. Not sure I will bother with an office pool this year....

Amy Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:02 PM EST

I LOVED JHUDSON in Dreamgirls...she made the movie...would love to see Ryan Gosling win...Best Movie Oscar is now up in the air. I mean LMS just won the SAG...which Crash won last year.

Amy Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:02 PM EST

I LOVED JHUDSON in Dreamgirls...she made the movie...would love to see Ryan Gosling win...Best Movie Oscar is now up in the air. I mean LMS just won the SAG...which Crash won last year.

Amy Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:02 PM EST

I LOVED JHUDSON in Dreamgirls...she made the movie...would love to see Ryan Gosling win...Best Movie Oscar is now up in the air. I mean LMS just won the SAG...which Crash won last year.

Jill Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 03:00 PM EST

Last night, for a split second, I thought that MAYBE Will Smith might pull off the upset. That being said, Forest Whitaker is great (although I haven't seen the film), and his acceptance speeaches have been semi-charming with the whole "aw-shucks" routine. I just hope he prepares something eloquent for the Oscars!

renie Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 02:46 PM EST

Just an afterthought - how great would it be for Leonardo DiCaprio and Kate Winslet to both win Actor/Actress Oscars exactly 10 years after Titanic?

renie Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 02:43 PM EST

Best Picture - Letters From Iwo Jima - They love Clint! He's 150 years old and he directed a Japanese film! That's what I call genius. Doesn't hurt that Paul "Crash/Million Dollar Baby" wrote it!
Best Actor & Actress: NO ONE SHOULD OR WILL BREAK THE HELEN MIRREN & FOREST WHITAKER COMBO - THEY WERE THE BEST!
Best Supporting Actor: JACKIE EARL HALEY deserves it. If not him, give it Djmon because he deserved it for Amistad and In America!
Best Supporting Actress: Okay, J-Hud was great but what I don't understand is WHY she is considered a supporting character? She's in it more than Beyonce and it is ABSOLUTELY UNFAIR to have her up against the other actresses who truly are supporting characters in their films! I hate when the studios push actors that way when it is to their advantage - if J-Hud were up against Helen Mirren - that would be a competition!
This is exactly what they did when Jennifer Connely won for BEAUTIFUL MIND - that was not a supporting role! Abigail SHOULD win!

Heather Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 02:42 PM EST

Do I mind knowing who the winners will probably be? Nope. After all, in years past there's the upset/surprise victory (if you can call Gwyneth getting an Oscar that deserved to go to Cate Blanchett an upset - it certainly upset me). Someone will be a surprise and not win. But on the plus side, I really can't argue with an upset if someone deserving like Forrest Whitaker wins. His acceptance speech alone would make up for someone else losing.

Jeanne Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 02:28 PM EST

Personally I think the only lock in the acting categories is Helen Mirren, she is truely untouchable. And she deserves it. The other ones will most likely win but there's a chance they might not. Whitaker could lose to O'Toole (which he probably shouldn't but I wouldn't be sad), Murphy could lose to any of the other nominees (which I hope he does, I saw nothing original or groundbreaking in that performance and Wahlberg or Haley should get it before him), and Hudson could also lose to any of the other nominees (personally I'm hoping for Breslin or Blanchette.)
Best Picture will be the most exciting category, it could go to any of them I think.

Bill Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 02:27 PM EST

I am so sick of hearing all the pile-on of hatred for Dreamgirls. I haven't been to the movies in quite some time where everyone clapped at the end. I think the Oscar committee botched things this year by not giving a nod to Dreamgirls for Best Picture.

spud Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 02:25 PM EST

I am sick of J-Hud. She's winning for playing a heavy black singer who got booted from a musical act and is bitter about it. Guess what? She IS a heavy black singer who got booted from a musical act and is bitter about it. That's like giving Al Gore accolades for portraying a politician trying to stay relevant...oh, wait, they're doing that, too!

junior Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 02:16 PM EST

Thank you, JJ for being a voice of reason. I will stay in this room and defend J-Hud as long as it takes! Just kidding, but seriously, to say that a singer isn't acting when she's singing is ridiculous! Plus, if you noticed during the SAG awards last night, they didn't play a singing clip when they announced her name as she was as good as anyone else. I am not worried about her career.

whatever Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 02:01 PM EST

will jennifer hudson ever be able to ACT again in a non musical??? i havent seen the show, but too much hype turns me off. i dont think she should win the oscar mainly because its so likely she'll become a one trick pony if she does.

JJ Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:57 PM EST

Regarding the "Jennifer Hudson was singing and not acting comments, many artists have said that when they perform on stage, its as though they are performing as a character. Yes, she was singing but did it not elicit emotions? Did you not sympathize with Effie? Or want to root for her at the end of the movie? I would aruge that the actors were still acting even when they were singing. That is what helped make their characters and the way we felt about them.
Also, there have been many actors in the past who won an oscar for their first or one of their first roles: Barbra Streisand, Goldie Hawn come to mind and both of them have had prolific careers.

wavemaker Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:53 PM EST

The Academy Awards have become an increasingly irrelevant bore. Each year, the Awards leading up to the Oscars seem more meaningful and interesting. But once the SAG votes, who cares? The same people vote for the acting awards for Oscars and the same people will, most likely, win. It's redundant. Personally, I would like to see Alan Arkin and Abigail Breslin take home Oscars for Little Miss Sunshine, which was a quietly brilliant film of the type they 'don't make anymore'. Also, "Dreamgirls" wasn't nominated for Picture because it's dull. Best Picture should go to "Letters from Iwo Jima" or "The Queen".

colbyfan Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:50 PM EST

First, on the boob-tube winners: How can the casts of 24 and Grey's Anatomy even sit in the same room as the magnificent cast of Deadwood? Are you freaking kidding me? Secondly, though Hudson & Murphy did a competent job in Dreamgirls and yes it is nice to see both of them grab some success, this is like Cher beating Glenn Close for the Oscar. I mean really, is it an acting award or a popularity contest? Oscars should be won by actors whose skills make a movie into something more than it would have been with anyone else playing the role. On that note, I think the cast of Little Miss Sunshine was justly honored last night. But as Best Picture - one that we want to highlight for future generations of moviegoers? Has to be The Departed or The Queen.

Neil Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:46 PM EST

I think the Best Actor is a lock for Whitaker, but I wish it was Will Smith. The man has shown time and again that he isn't just a 4th of July action star, but a phenomenal, charismatic actor.

mike Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:40 PM EST

It will be a major snoozer. I'm going to record the Oscars and go see a movie.

wontonjon Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:38 PM EST

Picture: I haven't seen it yet but from what I've heard, Babel
Director: Please, oh PLEASE be Scorcese. Excellent direction. And he's due for one
Actress: Mirren... 'Nuff Said
Actor: Whitaker. Dicaprio is an incredible actor (though remember the days we called him 'Dicrapio'?) but Whitaker has been one of the most consistent, subtle and just plain awesome actors for years.
Best Supporting Actor: I loved Murphy's performance, and thought it was perfect for him, and he for it. If he wins, I won't be surprised. However, I would like to see Alan Arkin or Mark Wahlberg win this award. They were both highlights of the movies they were in (Little Miss Sunshine and The Departed, respectively) despite having less screen time than the rest of the cast.
Best Supporting Actress: J-Hud. She stole the show, and was really in her element. With Movie Musicals coming back into style, I think she really has a shot at more work in film. I seriously see her as the Streisand or Garlond of today.

Dominic Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:34 PM EST

Well, I guess I'll weigh in. I think the only sure winner that I fully support is Helen Mirren. Under no circumstances should anyone but Mirren win this award.

As far as Best Actor goes, I find that my best performance of the year was not very supported, due to the material (Patrick Wilson, Hard Candy). In fact, of the nominated performances, I have Whitaker the highest, though I feel it was only the 5th best performance by a lead actor this year. (I have a list.)

Fatima, I echo your statements about Hudson. I find it hard to justify awarding a performance in which the strengths are almost completely musical, and the acting seems an afterthought. The most deserving is Cate Blanchett, who absolutely rocked "Notes".

As supporting actors go, Michael Sheen in "The Queen" was the most amazing of the supporting performances. If we're going nominated performances - Jack Earle Haley, who was absolutely haunting in "Little Children". Eddie Murphy was annoying and stereotypical fluff.

me Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:29 PM EST

who cares what the public wants? Must we lower the artistic standards of acting merit because the audience wants to see an upset or they'll be bored and tune out? Let them watch the people's choice awards or the mtv movie awards! Will the point ever comes when the Academy is forced to turn into American Idol and split the votes between themselves and the phone-in choices of America? Too bad! Make the bar higher!
Also - if the winners seem to obvious - the Academy better come up with some extra-ordinary presenters to possibly keep me from switching/falling asleep. I could really do without any appearance by Tom Hanks/Tom Cruise, Steven spielberg, julia roberts and the yearly token-minority seat filler appearances of lou gossert jr. and samuel l. jackson. (what have you 2 done lately to merit an invite?) Why not dig up some past winners of the past or have a parade of acting winners? Otherwise, I'd like to see Michell Pfeiffer...Cameron Diaz...cool people I haven't seen yearl

Jenny Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:27 PM EST

Jennifer Hudson is so over rated. It's really getting old hearing nothing but Jennifer. I think she will win for sure but don't think she deserves it.

glimmertwins Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:27 PM EST

The Oscars aren't even here yet and I'm bored. I knew who was going to win at SAG, and the same quartet are going to take home Oscars.
Seriously, the best thing about last night's broadcast were Marg Helgenberger's puppies. Giving Scarlett Johansson a run for her money at her age, wow -- all props to our little Marg!

Nikki Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:23 PM EST

I think that Jennifer Hudson is winning an Oscar for sure, and also Eddie Murphy, Helen Mirren and Forrest Whitaker. I think Forrest Whitaker is a great actor and should win but I also think that Leo is a great actor and he doesn't really get the attention he deserves. I think he has played some great roles that should of won him an Oscar by now but maybe this will be his year. I also think Ryan Gosling is full of talent but don't think he really has a chance.

Rahul Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:17 PM EST

I think the Supporting Actor race could still surprise, but the other categories look like a lock. The only one in my mind that's still up in the air is unfortunately the last award of the night; Best Picture. I'm totally clueless at this point on who's going to win that.

emily Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:16 PM EST

I absolutely loved Jennifer Hudson in Dreamgirls, but if there had to be an upset in the Supporting Actress category, I think Abigal Breslin should take home the award.

fredric Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:13 PM EST

oh... and my favorite part of last night was when chandra wilson won and referred to "that other one in rehab" - priceless!

fredric Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:12 PM EST

I like Jennifer Hudson (she WAS the heart of that movie, as uneven as it was), but I feel the better performance was delivered by Cate Blanchett. Mirren and Whitaker are untouchable at this point. As much as I love Kate Winslet, I'd rather see her win in another role. If she were to upset Mirren this year, people wouldn't credit her work - they'd say it was a sympathy vote for having lost so many times. I'd much rather see her win in a year that in unquestionably in her favor.

MindyM Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:10 PM EST

I think the wide open race for best picture should provide enough suspense for anyone who loves movies to tune in. The four top acting awards would seem to be locked up and they are all deserving. The predictability of it should not in any way undermine the depth and strength of their performances. I think Jennifer Hudson is very deserving, newcomer or not. She was the heart and soul of that movie and the best thing about what was otherwise a fairly mediocre musical. I loved Eddie Murphy in the movie, but I can't stand his arrogance, witness his silly acceptance speech last night at the SAG awards. Imagine, making fun of the elegant and classy British actors. Hugh Laurie kind of gave it right back to him and good for him.

I would like to see The Departed win for best picture. But the one award that would mean the most to me is if Martin Scorcese finally gets his much deserved and long delayed award for best director. That would make it worthwhile to watch.

jake Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:07 PM EST

Leonardo Dicaprio should win the Oscar -- for two performances in one year -- sean penn lost out the SAG award to johnny depp and he had two great peformances as well. There is no better time to reward Leo than this year. Blood Diamond also got 5 nominations and he contributed greatly to that movie's success. He is the actor of the year. come on spice it up Oscars!

Doc Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:07 PM EST

Although I'm rooting for Jennifer Hudson to win, something in my gut tells me that little Abigail Breslin is going to take home the Oscar. Eddie Murphy will take home the sole major Oscar for "Dreamgirls"

junior Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:07 PM EST

[Keep it together] [Keep it together] The Oscars aren't a career achievement award, they are for SINGLE PERFORMANCES! Jennifer Hudson gave the Best Supporting Actress single performance and whether or not she's done anything else, doesn't mean she shouldn't win an Oscar. Eminem has an Oscar. She can pick up one too. Sorry, I just had to say that. Oh and that Peter O'Toole ain't winning Best Actor. He's been sick, not campaigning or attending any of the awards shows. Plus, no one's even heard of his film (and that's compared to "The Last King of Scotland" which only a handful of people have actually seen).

Joe Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:05 PM EST

After seeing "Dreamgirls," I still don't get the hype around Jennifer Hudson's performance. Certainly, she can sing ... But I really didn't think any of her songs were showstoppers (yes, I'm including "And I Am Telling You ...," which didn't rivet me near as much as Beyonce's "Listen"). In a weak year, I can see why she got a nod - but does she deserve a sure-thing win? Not while Cate Blanchett is in the category! Personally, I think the hype around Hudson - which will land her an undeserved Oscar - comes from Hollywood types (and hype machines like EW) wanting to give the finger to "American Idol" for booting Hudson off early. I've never watched the show, but I've heard her sing, and she probably did get booted too early. But this is the Oscars ... it's not "p*ss on Simon Cowell night." Unfortunately, if Jennifer Hudson wins, that's exactly what it will turn into.

jart Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:03 PM EST

oh and the other Best Actress nominees did not even bother to show up! Granted, Meryl Streep had a previous engagement in NYC, Judi Dench was on a show in London, and Penelope at the Goya Awards in Madrid. But then again, it shows the supremacy of Mirren's presence this year that she was the ONLY nominee who attended. Maybe poor Annette Bening should have taken the tip!

jim Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 01:01 PM EST

Having seen Dreamgirls, I think Jennifer Hudson and Eddie Murphy should not have been nominated for an Oscar.. nor should they win. Dreamgirls was an overhyped movie from the beginning with people saying it was an Oscar winner before it was even released. This is an example of hysteria leading to nominations, by the time it came out everyone was saying it was the greatest thing since sliced bread so even those who didn't get it were voting for it just to be on the bandwagon. I really hope they leave empty handed on Oscar night.

jart Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:55 PM EST

if the SAG awards are any indication, the Oscar telecast will be a yawn (come save us Ellen!).
Upsets are what makes the Oscars the most fun: Marisa Tomei, Juliette Binoche, Marcia Gay Harden...Supporting categories are usually where upsets are made (oh, AND Best Picture 'crashers'). So I expect an upset..PLEASE Academy members, show us you have your own personality!
J-Hud was outstanding, but nowehere near CATE BLANCHETT, who did a superb supporting job in no less than THREE movies in 2006!
And I loved Eddie M, but Djimon Hounsou had a more complex and complete performance. Eddie was being, well Eddie...
As for lead acting, those look like a lock...

Anna Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:52 PM EST

I was rather underwhelmed by Dreamgirls but the problem for me wasn't the acting, it was the direction and the music. I think the actors saved the movie from being completely boring.

I don't think Leo necessarily deserves to win over Forest. He's a very good actor but Forest has been doing great work for a lot longer. He's been one of the most underrated actors in the business.

Tommy Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:52 PM EST

Totally agree with Rittany

rittany Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:48 PM EST

Did you people not see Blood Diamond? Leonardo DiCaprio was absolutely amazing. He was captivating and totally deserves to win this year. He has been passed over too many times. I saw all of the performances this year and he moved me the most. Next was Gosling, Smith, O'Toole and then Whitaker. I can't understand the hype, FW's performance didn't move me at all!

aramis Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:43 PM EST

ED - I'm echoing your concern for J-Hud. It's been my concern for awhile when it came to the Oscars. J-Hud is too new in the biz to be winning an Oscar. As much as everyone in the entire WORLD knows she should get it, the acting community is hard pressed to ignore politics. And the politics here is that she hasn't been in the biz long enough to win an Oscar.
So if there IS an upset win, it will most likely be in the Supporting acting categories for both Eddie Murphy and J-Hud. I do think the lead acting categories and the directing categories are on lock. The TRUE race here is to see the Best Picture. There hasn't been a year in recent memory where the lead runner (or TWO as in the case of last year) wasn't clear. Pretty much ANY of the five nominees can win, so it's really nice to see something like that.
I really really really hope JHud takes it all the way.

Tommy Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:42 PM EST

Hmmm..no offense to Forest..but I think its about time Leo Wins an oscar..extremely talented..maybe not so great in Blood Diamond but he was great in The Departed...I think Helen Mirren is awesome but if there is an upset is say it would be awesome to see Kate Winslet finally win an oscar...Murphy and Hudson were great but i think Mark Wahlberg could get in as the upsetter...so can Alan Arkin....Scorcesse better win..im kinda tired of Eastwood taking it from him the last two times and Best Picture well??? It has to be Babel or the Departed..

Stephanie Travitsky Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:39 PM EST

Joe,

I think that there is something medically wrong with Whitaker. It is as if his right side is slightly paralized. Secondly, this guy was robbed of an Oscar for "Bird" so you know what if he gets it this time, kudos to him. If he was out of the running then I'd say Will Smith should get it.

Pouncer Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:37 PM EST

Slezak, mad props for mentioning Secretariat's Belmont win - truly a race for the ages, and one that makes me cry every single time I watch it. If only the Oscars had a hundreth of that effect. Sadly, they've been boring rosters of films I haven't seen for the past several years. I can't care about the winners because I haven't seen their performances. Lacking actual knowledge, I go on sentiment and root for Peter O'Toole and Martin Scorcese. And Little Miss Sunshine, which was the only film beloved of every single person I know who saw it. I'm waiting, as with so many others, for DVD.

Kris Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:31 PM EST

There is no suspense, because we know already who is going to win. There might be perhaps ONE "upset", but that's a sad state. It just means that by the time the Oscars roll around the actual awards are irrelevant. I hope Eddie Murphy does not win. There would be something wrong with a world in which Eddie Murphy has an Oscar but Peter O'Toole, Kate Winslet, Glenn Close...do not.

Erik Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:28 PM EST

My upset choices would be:
--Ryan Gosling (I haven't seen Last King of Scotland yet, so Gosling's my current favorite)
--Judi Dench (Mirren was great, but I hope Dench DOES get an upset win)
--Djimon Hounsou (totally deserves the win)
--Abigail Breslin (i don't think she should win, but if there was going to be an upset win, it would be fun to see what her speech might be)

Drew Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:28 PM EST

Basically at this point Best Picture and the technical categories (although many consider them insignificant) are really important later on. At this point it looks like Dreamgirls can still win 6 Oscars and then The Departed 4 with The Queen and Pan's Labyrinth with 3. The acting categories are all sewn up except for the possibility of the Murphy upset by Arkin, but the Academy would love to show that Eddie really did add some oomph to a pretty uneven yet exhilirating film. Maybe just maybe if O'Toole arouses enough sympathy votes he could win, but not enough people liked the movie. If Hudson doesn't win I feel like it's almost as big of an upset as Mirren not winning, and with her second two win night that looks so unlikely.

Jake Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:27 PM EST

I predict the ratings for this year's Oscars will be an all-time low. With wins from all the major blocks of Oscar voters, Whitaker, Mirren, Murphy & Hudson have the acting awards (deservedly) sewn up. Ditto the Director award for Scorcese (a long time coming if you ask me). The only surprise will be for Best Picture and given the nominated films this year, America is much more likely to find a pillow rather than a cup of coffee come Oscar night.

Ackerman Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:21 PM EST

DOn't get me wrong - I have been a Whitaker fan forever, but Ryan Gosling is really the best performance of the year. Unfortunately, I think it's going to be one of those "Burstyn-in-Requiem" performances that will have to do with the nomination standing in for what should have been an ovation.

Joe Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:17 PM EST

If Forest Whitaker wins the Best Actor Oscar,and I'm sure he will, I hope he just walks up to the podium and says "Thank you" and walks off. To hear such a talented man mumble incoherently in front of a microphone again, would be too painful to watch. If a great actor can memorize parts of a script, why can't he memorize a decent acceptance speech?

jason Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:14 PM EST

i would love jennifer to win an Oscar. i'm not putting all my energy behind it though because i don't want to have to throw my shoe at the TV. yes, most of you say there was 'no acting' or she was 'just singing'. but i'm sorry, any actress (yes, she is one) who gets a whole audience to nearly go into cardiac arrest with her performance needs to be honored. she's done INCREDIBLY so far, no matter what Oscar says

Yogi Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:14 PM EST

Best Picture is where the suspense will be. Watching Forrest be so soft spoken at the mike really drives home what a great actor he is. He, Helen Mirren, Eddie Murphy, & Jennifer Hudson deserve it b/c of their performances.

Fatima Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:08 PM EST

No seriously. I liked Dreamgirls and Hudson, but I don't understand why she's getting so much hype. I haven't even seen Babel, but I want Rinko to win. I do want Eddie Murphy to win though...I thought he was the best part of the movie by far

TorontoTom Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:08 PM EST

Jennifer Hudson's performance in Dreamgirls was a lot more than just And I'm Telling You. She was the heart and soul of that movie. That a newcomer could pull that off is astounding. There is no doubt that she should win the Oscar.

Sally Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:07 PM EST

Locks: Hudson, Mirren and Whitaker.
Not locks: Eddie Murphy. I predict Mark Wahlberg will get it because a) the members will think Eddie has won all he should and b) the Departed needs SOMETHING.
Letters is not winning in the major critics and awards shows, so I think it will be passed over.
Am I watching? Nope.
As for Ed's comment about Jennifer Hudson, this is about as far up as she can go. Next will be CDs, private events, Broadway...but I doubt there will be movies 'soon' in her future.

Sarah Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:05 PM EST

After finally seeing "Dreamgirls" this weekend, I'm disappointed that Murphy and Hudson are getting all the glory. Sure, the singing was good, but was the acting? Not really. I was bored. When awards seasons are dominated by a few actors receiving all the accolades, it makes me want to avoid the Oscars. What's the fun in watching if there aren't any surprises, especially when the shoo-ins are less-than-deserving? Voters always jump on bandwagons, and it's time they hightail it off the "Dreamgirls" one and show some love to better performances, say Mark Whalberg and Rinko Kikuchi.

graeme Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 12:03 PM EST

I still think Murphy is gonna be upset.

danielle Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:59 AM EST

I was actually thinking about this the other day and i am hoping that some dark horse comes through because while the front runners all had amazing performances how boring is it? It would be one thing if each winner gives great speeches that will be remembered forever but given their speeches up to this point it is doubtful. However, wasnt there an article that said ratings increase with a clear winner or something (like in the year of titanic?). I would love to see Kate Winslet win for best acress Ryan Gossling for actor although Peter O' Toole is far more likely. However, i think that no way was Jennifer Hudson's performance better that those in Babel (a movie i did not like) and not even close to being on the level of kate blanchet in notes. Without her big and i'm telling you scene and all that buzz she wouldnt stand a chance w/ an overhyped and completely uneven performance like that. if she wins that academy should be ashamed. seriously.

Fatima Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:54 AM EST

I wouldn't be surprised it Peter O'Toole won the Oscar. Need I remind people of the Bob Hoskins/Paul Newman year? Hoskins won everything up until the Oscars where voters gave Newman the award because he had never won.

In all honesty, I would HATE to see that happen. Whitaker deserves it, akward speech or not.

nathan Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:50 AM EST

I think it will be quite predictable up until the final 2 awards, Director and Picture. We'll see if Scorsese finally wins, hard to say.

RobinG Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:50 AM EST

If the media and the oddsmakers would just STOP, then maybe this would have been an interesting race. As it is, we've been bombarded endlessly with other awards shows and shameless publicity, so the actual ceremony could be nothing but dull. It's too bad because there were some fine performances in 2006.

Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:47 AM EST

just let them talk for over 45 seconds. i think the 'dreamgirl' best song performances will keep me tuned in - as long as the songs are substitued by the likes of people who didn't sing them (debbie allen, peabro bryson, melissa manchester, jewel, queen latitah...

Scott P Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:47 AM EST

I really don't care about it this year, since as always they've ignored the best movies of the year (Children of Man as already discussed, the Fountain, etc.). Plus they didn't have the guts to bring back Jon Stewart as the host, that is more than enough to keep me away this year.

Kati Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:42 AM EST

As much as I love Forest Whitaker's work in The Last King of Scotland, his acceptance speeches make me want to kill myself... so either he should have someone else give it for him, hire a speechwriter, or just let Ryan Gosling have the Oscar.

The Big One Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:38 AM EST

I for one hope the the fantsatic 4 Mirren, Whitaker, Hudson, Murphy do Win...they were the best this year....the big surprise will be Best Picture......I hope things are shaken up a bit and the Departed wins.

Ed Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:33 AM EST

Jennifer Hudson won't win the Otsker. I keep telling myself that because she keeps winning everything else. Plus, she doesn't have enough experience for jealous peers to vote for her.

will Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:32 AM EST

This year won't be completely boring-there's absolutely no frontrunner for best picture. It could go to any of the 5

Winn Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:23 AM EST

One of the (many) things that have made the Oscars lose their credibility over the years is trying to strike a balance between honoring the true best performances, popular/sentimental favorites, deserving or not, and the excitement necessary to keep audiences tuning in. I happen to think all the nominees in the acting category are worthy this year, but I sincerely hope the "predictable" happens and Forrest Whitaker and Helen Mirren take home the little gold guy. They deserve it. I don't want the Academy to feel they have to "shake things up" to keep it interesting for the audience at home; that negates the work of all the nominees and diminishes the awards' cachet even further. Even thogh the Golden Globes are now considered a strong barometer for the Oscars, they went through several ignominous years as a laughing-stock award because they allowed the awards to be high-jacked by the highest bidder, including those who wished to inject "excitement" into the proceedings.

tazman76 Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:21 AM EST

I think that it's an exciting year in movies and award shows, even if it is predictable in the acting categories. You still have to decipher who'll win for Best Picture. Little Miss Sunshine might pull the upset on the star-studded cast of The Departed, or the seriousness of Babel.

I for one will be upset if Peter O'Toole were to win Best Actor. There hasn't been a lot of talk about his performance, Forest Whitaker was AMAZING in The Last King of Scotland, and it's a long time coming for him as well. I mean, Mr. O'Toole got the Lifetime Achievement Award at the Oscars, and I believe that's amazing right there. Give it to Forest!!! :)

I think the SAG winners will win the Oscars, because they all were amazing in their performances, IMHO. :)

Dave Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:19 AM EST

Mirren, Whitaker, Murphy, Hudson, and Scorsese all look like locks to win their respective categories. They all deserve to win, so I won't be disappointed if/when they do. If anyone does pull an upset, I'd love to see Ryan Gosling, Kate Winslet, Cate Blanchett, and DiCaprio win as well. Interestingly enough, the Oscars' biggest toss-up is its biggest award: Best Picture. With Babel taking the Golden Globe, Little Miss Sunshine winning the SAG and Producers Guild, and The Departed likely (hopefully!) winning Best Director, it's anyone's guess as to which movie will ultimately take home the top prize. That, along with host Ellen Degeneres, will keep me watching.

Stacey Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:17 AM EST

It is going to be boring, if there aren't some shockers come Oscar night. Come on, someone. It's a month to Oscar night, and something needs to happen to bring a surprise like last year when Crash won. Although Little Miss Sunshine seems headed for a shocker to those who though it might be Departed or Babel. But still, someone or all of the preceived front runners in the acting fields need to lose. Helen and Forrest, Jennifer have been winning all the big awards. BORING. Hopefully the host Ellen can keep me entertained, if the winners won't.

junior Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:15 AM EST

First of all, if there is an "upset" it won't be justified since the actors who are winning "everything" this year are doing so because they're the best. If they weren't, they wouldn't be winning everything. Secondly, instead of turning an award show into a horse race, why don't people focus on celebrating the winning artists. The SAGs weren't boring for me at all because I was SO happy for J-Hud (who gave the perfect speech) and Helen Mirren (who was quite funny) and all the other winners. This is not a sporting event, if anything, that's the movie itself. This is just the medal ceremony.

Ceballos Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:12 AM EST

Generally, I don't think it's a great thing for the Oscars to be as predictable as they're shaping up to be this year (at least in the acting categories).

However, this year, I DO think it's fantastic, but it's because of these four particular performers. Whitaker gets an Oscar for a career of solid performances (and for being ripped off of an Emmy nom/award for his work on "The Shield"). Helen Mirren has been excellent for years and years, and seems to be getting better. Who doesn't love a good ol' fashioned comeback story like Eddie Murphy, pretty much the world's biggest movie star for a while, then "reduced" to starring in toothless family movies. And then there's Hudson...her story is (i'm sorry) truly a Dream. From nobody, to seventh place finish on "Idol" to Oscar?! Huh?!

Michael Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:09 AM EST

I, for one, am counting on at least one surpise upset. As worthy as Forest Whitaker is, it'd be a nice blast of adrenaline if Ryan Gosling won for his brilliant work in half Nelson. Or if one of the Babel ladies find themselves at the podium. These may be long shots, but I am rooting for em.

maloney Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:08 AM EST

the academy will be sentimental this year. peter o'toole will win for best actor.

brandonk Mon, Jan 29, 2007 at 11:06 AM EST

I think I kind of prefer things to go the way I expect. For instance, I was terribly disappointed when "Brokeback Mountain" didn't win last year. Likewise, if Jennifer Hudson or Helen Mirren don't win, I'll be disappointed this year. However, there are always some surprises and lots of fun moments, especially if you don't watch all of the other awards shows.