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Share your Oscar front-runners

Nov 15, 2005, 09:31 AM | by Michael Slezak

Categories: Oscars 2006

9355__munich_lThere's only 111 days until the Academy Awards, and now that EW's Dave Karger has spilled the beans about this year's early Oscar front-runners, it's time to let the prognosticating and rampant speculation begin. Do already released films such as Jarhead, Crash, Cinderella Man, or The Constant Gardener have your support? Or are you holding out hope for upcoming pictures such as Munich (starring Eric Bana, left), Syriana, Memoirs of a Geisha, and Brokeback Mountain?

Tell us who deserves a date with Oscar, and who ought to get stood up, come March 5.


D. Harrison Wed, Jan 4, 2006 at 01:24 PM EST

BEST ACTRESS:
JOAN ALLEN for the Upside of Anger
(NOBODY did better work than her this year)

Best Actor:
Viggo Mortensen for A history of Violence
Russell Crow for Cinderella Man

BEST MOVIE:
The upside of Anger
Crash
Proof

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Paul Giamatti for Cinderella Man

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Sandra Bullock for Crash
Hope Davis for Proof

Billy Sun, Dec 18, 2005 at 11:26 AM EST

Who will win "*"
Who I want to win "!"

PICTURE:
Brokeback Mountain * !
Cinderella Man
Constant Gardener
Match Point
Good Night, Good Luck

DIRECTOR:
Ang Lee - Brokeback * !
George Clooney - Good Night
Woody Allen - Match Point
Fernando Mierelles (sp?)- Constant G
Steven Speilberg - Munich

ACTOR:
Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Capote !
Heath Ledger - Brokeback *
Joaquin Phoeniz - Walk the Line
Ralph Fiennes - Constant G
Jeff Daniels - Squid and Whale

ACTRESS:
Joan Allen - Upside of Anger !
Charlize Theron - North Country
Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line *
Judi Dench - Mrs Henderson
(reluctantly) Felicity Huffman

SUPP ACTRESS:
Amy Adams - Junebug
Maria Bello - History of Violence
Rachel Weisz - Constant Gardener * !
Laura Linney - Squid & Whale

SUPP ACTOR:
Jake Gylenhaal - Brokeback !
Richard Jenkins - North Country
Matt Dillon - Crash
Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man *

Some of my favorite movies and performances: Rosario Dawson in RENT; CIllian Murphy in BRKST ON PLUTO; BATMAN BEGINS; Kevin Costner in UPSIDE OF ANGER; JUNEBUG; GRIZZLY MAN; Tom Wilkinson in SEPERATE LIES

Yenny Fri, Dec 16, 2005 at 12:19 AM EST

I am really dissapointed with the lack of recognetion for Christian Bale and Batman Begins.He was absolutley awsome.He made batman batman. Christian's ability to change his roles,varying them makes him an even better actor. (He becomes his character)His talents able him to do things that not all actors have the ability to do(ability to lose and gain massive amounts of weight in a short period of time shows his physical ability) and it took a lot more work and talent to play batman than it did for heath Ledger to play a gay guy. I don't understand why he wouldn't even be suggested in a comment. Most of his movies are overshadowed by the media(globes and oscars) Not only was Christian's role superior to others, but the movie was very well done. Christopher Nolan did a superb job of directing, and the movie couldn't have been written better, not to mention an outstanding cast. The movie contained few flaws if any and is a fan favorite to viewers. So then why isn't it being mentioned in categories such as best written, directed,and best actor? This movie probably had a better story line, and moral lesson than most of the movies made this year.(ex: The true meaning of Justice and revenge)This movie did a fantastic job of answering questions about how batman was created and gave him a purpose, he is more than a superhero in a suite. The determination of stopping crime brings hope not only to the people of Gothem, but viewers alike. The realsitic point of view of this movie makes it true to life, so people can relate to it, which has never been done before w/ a batman film. Does it make a difference that this film is based on a comic book? In my opinion it shouldn't matter; and I would love to see batman break the mold and get recognized as the greatness that it is, even though it is a comic book. As for my opinions on the other predicing front- runners I have no comment, because I am still emotinally upset that certain movies will get nothing but an award from fans, which probably is the best award to receive anyway; but noone pays attention to those awards anyway.

Renae Sun, Dec 11, 2005 at 09:24 PM EST

I think that everyone here is leaving out one amazing supporting actor: Ian McDiarmid in Star Wars: Episode III. It's easy to come down on that movie, and yes, it was bad, but two actors held it up: Ewan McGregor and Ian McDiarmid. I know Mr. McDiarmid is not likely to receive a nomination, but he should not be ignored, either.

Mollie Wed, Dec 7, 2005 at 09:39 AM EST

The best actor all around in Walk the Line: Joaquin Phoenix. He was amazing.

Lonie Tue, Dec 6, 2005 at 07:35 AM EST

I am a critic for a large university newspaper, and recently attended a private screening for critics in Atlanta. I am posting my review for BrokeBack Mountain:

Heath Ledger, Jake Gyllenhaal, Anne Hathaway,
Michelle Williams, Randy Quaid

Directed by Ang Lee

Brokeback Mountain (Rated-R)
Focus Films - Release Date- (NY/LA/SF – Dec 9th) (Atlanta- Dec 16th) Nationally- Jan 2006.
Review by Lonie Haynes
The buzz on this film first surfaced during the Venice Film festival in September, when it garnered the Gold Lion Grand Prize, followed quickly by numerous accolades at the Toronto Film festival… It is one of the most anticipated films of the year. The short story by Annie Proulx (of Shipping News fame) created a literary sensation when it first appeared in the New Yorker in 1997. It is the dramatic epic story of two ranch hands (circa 1963), who share a summer job herding sheep and ultimately stumble into a passionate, sexual encounter—which leads to an inexplicably life-long love affair.

Having read and savored the short story, I am deeply impressed with the film. The adaptation is gorgeously haunting; the story seems to have stepped effortlessly off the pages and onto a celluloid canvas. This smooth adaptation is due to producer Ang Lee—known most reverently for his films Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon and Sense and Sensibility—. And also Larry McMurtry, Pulitzer Prize winning author, and Diana Ossana, noted-screenwriter, who beautifully adapted the short story to script. The film has lost none if it’s emotional weight—coming from print. The majestic scenery comes alive, the dialogue is edgy and gritty and the characters are palpable. Ennis del Mar, laconic, introspective and self-punishing, is played by Heath Ledger, and Jack Twist, demonstrative dreamer and idealist, is played by Jake Gyllenhaal. A rancher, Randy Quaid, hires Ennis and Jack to guard a massive flock of sheep in the pristine hills of the Wyoming backwoods. Their job is to keep the coyotes at bay. One of the young men sleeps near the flock, another in the tent. Their days consist of herding the flock around the mountain and eating beans and drinking the occasional bottle of whiskey. It is during these long, quiet days that the two young men develop a friendship. The days are long and cool. The evenings are colder and wet. One evening when the cold is too much for Ennis to bear, Jack invites him in the tent, where it is warmer. Attempting to stay warm Ennis wraps himself up in Jack’s blanket---and without warning Jack pulls Ennis closer. Ennis jerks away, but Jack is insistent and within seconds belts are frantically undone and pants are off and one is on top of the other. It’s as shocking to them as it is to us! They next day is followed by affirmations of heterosexuality —“you know I ain’t queer; I ain’t either”. But they soon find themselves again—enmeshed. They don’t know what’s driving this, but they can’t resist. And yet they continue to call themselves only ‘friends’. By the end of their sexually charged summer it is apparent that both men have feelings that run much deeper than they can or will verbalize. With their summer jobs over, they go their separate ways. Jack heads south and marries and Ennis stays in Wyoming and marries a local girl. After four years they are reunited, both claiming to themselves and everyone else they are just good ‘fishing buddies’, but Ennis’s wife senses something more. It is their reunion and subsequent meetings, throughout the years, that creates a painfully, complicated bond that they themselves cannot understand or control. And for apparent reasons, their true relationship remains secret. And it is this secrecy, and all that it entails, that is the force that drives this story. And like so many love stories—it is the ending that is tragic.

How Ennis and Jack negotiate their immutable feelings for each other—longing, frustration and repression—makes this tale mesmerizing and poignant. And the ultimate realization that there is no resolve that will satisfy them both is heartbreaking. The cast is extraordinary; the wives, Williams (Dawson Creek) and Hathaway (Princess Diaries) are splendid. But it is Williams who stands out—dealing with the discovery of Ennis’s secret and unrequited love. And Gyllenhall and Ledger, literally, leave you breathless. They battle fractured marriages and ultimately yearning and loss. Gyllenhall is deeply moving, as a cowboy who is determined to make an unconventional love affair work. But it is Ledger’s heartrending performance, of a man who is fiercely resolute to keep his longing, anger and grief suppressed, which seals the deal on this film—Ledger has possibly pulled off the year’s most daring role. And the framework of the film, the beautifully captured landscape—done by Ang Lee’s gifted hand, a conventionally supportive score, and subtle changes in custom and make-up indicating the passing years from the early 60’s to the late 70’s make the film even more engaging. The only downfall with the film is that it is a bit long, but that can be overlooked, given the magnitude of the tale. This movie has been touted as the ‘Gay Cowboy’ movie, but that ubiquitous label minimizes what this film truly is. This story transcends the whirlwind debate (politics, gender and morality) it has already created. It is an absolute, unabashed love story. But even more than that, the story has a much larger narrative. It is about the choices you make and how you negotiate life based on those choices—it is a tale of what happens when you find someone that you fall inexplicably and irrevocably in love with and then cannot express that love—this is why the story resonates. It is universal—a yearning for love and acceptance. And when that love and acceptance is not truly realized, it makes Ennis and Jack’s journey desperately sad. The final scene is the most poignant; Ledger’s Ennis is alone and resigned, and the scene plays like a slow ballad of consolation and remorse, it stays with you long after the film ends. This is an enormously powerful story—heartbreaking in its beauty and tragedy. (Grade A+)

Caveat: The sexual scenes are graphic. And bring your handkerchiefs—during the screening, I attended, weeping could be heard about the theatre.


Emmy Sun, Dec 4, 2005 at 05:05 PM EST

Best movie:
Brokeback Mountain
Jarhead
Munich
Walk the Line

Best Director:
Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Sam Mendes (Jarhead)

Best actress:
Reese Witherspoon (Walk th Line)
Scarlett Johansson (Match Point)

Best actor:
Jake Gyllenhaal for Jarhead
Heath Ledger for Brokback Mountain
Eric BAna for Munich

Best supporting actor:
Jake Gyllenhaal for Brokeback mountain
Peter Sarsgaard for Jarhead

Kevin Wed, Nov 30, 2005 at 04:44 PM EST

BEST PICTURE
CRASH
BEST DIRECTOR
PAUL HAGGIS
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
CRASH (Paul Haggis, Bob Yari)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
MATT DILLON OR LARENZ TATE
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
CLAIRE DANES (SHOPGIRL) or Anne Hathaway (Brokeback Mountain)
BEST ACTOR
Should be Russel Crowe but Cinderella Man was a while ago
BEST ACTRESS
None have really stood out so far this year

Since CRASH was realeased so early in the year i doubt it will win especially since there is so much publicity surrounding Brokeback Mountain, i'm sure they'll be another Denzel/Halle upset with BBM beating Crash, even though as a whole, CRASH is a better film. Just like Halle and Denzel not being the best actors in 2001 yet they won anyway.

Jonathan Mon, Nov 28, 2005 at 12:19 AM EST

*-should win
!-will win

Best Picture:
-Brokeback Mountain
-Good Night and Good Luck
-Memoirs of a Geisha
-Munich-*!
-Walk the Line

Best Director:
-Clooney, George-Good Night and Good Luck*
-Lee, Ang-Brokeback Mountain
-Mallick, Terrence-The New World
-Marshall, Rob-Memoirs of a Geisha
-Spielberg, Steven-Munich!

Best Actor:
-Bana, Eric-Munich
-Fiennes, Ralph-The Constant Gardener*
-Hoffman, Phillip Seymour-Capote!
-Phoenix, Joaquin-Walk the Line
-Straighthairn, David-Good Night and Good Luck

Best Actress:
-Huffman, Felicity-Transamerica!
-Richardson, Natasha-The White Countess
-Theron, Charlize-North Country
-Witherspoon, Reese-Walk the Line
-Zhang, Ziyi-Memoirs of a Geisha*

Best Supporting Actor:
-Howard, Terrence-Crash
-(Just for fun)Fiennes, Ralph-Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire*
-Rush, Geoffery-Munich
-Watanabe, Ken-Memoirs of a Geisha
-Wright, Jeffery-Syriana!

Best Supporting Actress:
-Adams, Amy-Junebug*
-Clarkson, Patricia-Good Night and Good Luck
-Li, Gong-Memoirs of a Geisha
-Newton, Thandie-Crash!
-Weisz, Rachel-The Constant Gardener


Top 10 Best Films of 2005 (as of 27/11/05)
1.Good Night and Good Luck
2.Walk the Line
3.Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
4.A History of Violence
5.Batman Begins
6.Capote
7.Crash
8.The Constant Gardener
9.Kingdom of Heaven
10.Star Wars: Episode III-Revenge of the Sith(much more than I expected based on the previous two so it's here mainly as a surprise)

C-Los Sun, Nov 27, 2005 at 10:37 PM EST

*-should win
!-will win


Best Picture:
Syriana
Memoirs of A geisha
Munich!
Crash
The Constant Gardner*

Best Director:
Syriana
Memoirs of a Geisha*
Munich!
Brokeback Mountain
The Constant Gardner

Best Actor:
Ralph Fiennes- The Constant gardner*
Philip Seymour Hoffman- Capote!
Joaquin Phoenix- Walk the LIne
George Clooney- Syriana
Eric Bana- Munich

Best Actress:
Resse Witherspoon- Walk the Line
Felicity Huffman- Transamerica!*
Claire danes- Shopgirl
Ziyi Zhang-Memoirs of a Geisha
Charlize Theron- Norrth Country


This years movies are thought evoking and deal with much more difficult issues than last year's pics. The supporting categories are always difficult to predict but I think Thandie Newton and Terrence howard will win for Crash if it is overlooked.

Michael Margetis Sat, Nov 26, 2005 at 05:40 PM EST

HERE ARE MY NOMINATION PREDICTIONS... (*= who I think will win)

Best Picture:
BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA
MUNICH *
SYRIANA
WALK THE LINE

Best Director:
GEORGE CLOONEY for GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.
STEPHEN GAGHAN for SYRIANA
ANG LEE for BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
ROB MARSHALL for MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA
STEVEN SPIELBERG for MUNICH *

Best Actor:
ERIC BANA for MUNICH
PHILIP SEYMOUR HOFFMAN for CAPOTE *
HEATH LEDGER for BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
JOAQUIN PHOENIX for WALK THE LINE
DAVID STRAITHIRN for GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.

Best Actress:
JOAN ALLEN for THE UPSIDE OF ANGER
JUDI DENCH for MR. HENDERSEN PRESENTS
FELICITY HUFFMAN for TRANSAMERICA *
REESE WITHERSPOON for WALK THE LINE
ZIYI ZHANG for MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA

Best Supporting Actor:
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain
William Hurt, A History of Violence
Geoffrey Rush, Munich
Ken Watanabe, Memoirs of a Geisha
Jeffrey Wright, Syriana * (will win)

Best Supporting Actress:
Maria Bello, A History of Violence
Li Gong, Memoirs of a Geisha * (will win)
Q'Orianka Kilcher, The New World
Shirley MacLaine, In Her Shoes
Thandie Newton, Crash


KrisSAY Sat, Nov 26, 2005 at 04:05 AM EST

I think that a lot of the predictions thus far on the list of Oscar hopefuls stem from not being able to see a lot of the most long-awaited films until the end of the year. However, I've been fortunate enough to have seen a lot of the films ahead of time, and I have to take this opportunity to tell everyone to see Brokeback Mountain. It received a standing ovation at the screening I saw it at and is definitely a contender for director, leading actor, supporting actress, cinematography, adapted screenplay, and original score.
So, my nominee predictions are as follows:

*Best Picture*
Brokeback Mountain
Crash
Memoirs of a Geisha
Munich
Pride and Prejudice

*Best Director*
Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Paul Haggis (Crash)
Rob Marshall (Memoirs of a Geisha)
Steven Speilberg (Munich)
Bennett Miller (Capote)

*Best Actor*
Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man)
Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain) -- should WIN
Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)
David Strathairn (Good Night, and Good Luck)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)

*Best Actress*
Joan Allen (Upside of Anger)
Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
Charlize Theron (North Country)
Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Ziyi Zhang (Memoirs of a Geisha)

*Best Supporting Actor*
Terence Howard (Crash)
Richard Jenkins (North Country)
Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)
Jake Gyllenhaal (Brokeback Mountain)
Ken Watanabe (Memoirs of a Geisha)

*Best Supporting Actress*
Amy Adams (Junebug)
Catherine Keener (Capote)
Gong Li (Memoirs of a Geisha)
Thandie Newton (Crash)
Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)

I would say Anne Hathaway for Brokeback Mountain, too, but since Williams had the more "dramatic" performance, the academy may snub Hathaway (very unfortunate).

I haven't seen Memoirs yet, but I'm going to see it in a week and a half, and I really want to see it done well since the cast is truly extraordinary. I have a lot of faith in Rob Marshall, but I hope I'm not hyping myself up too much on it, as well. Let's keep our hopes up!

Oh, and another thing: I really didn't think that North Country was that great a movie. I thought that Charlize did a fine job in it, but I felt that Richard Jenkins' performance (others may know him as the deceased patriarch on Six Feet Under, or the FBI agent in Flirting with Disaster) is the one that stood out the most. I think a nomination for him is definitely wishful thinking on my part, but I'm holding out hope that he's given recognition.

Finally, I'm one of splintered group that felt that Jarhead was one of the best films of the year; I felt that it was a highly misunderstood film and that most people went to see it with their conventional notion of what a war movie should be. It proved to be anything but conventional, giving us the soldier's perspective of what it's like to be trained to kill with nothing to kill. Just my opinion. I hope it gets a lot of nods, but I'm getting the feeling that the sentiment about the movie is so split that it will hinder its chances.

Anyways, I loved reading everyone's posts! It definitely made me reconsider some of my choices, and reinforce others :) But I must say, there's nothing better than a playful Oscar chat amongst film buffs at the start of Awards season!


Josh Fri, Nov 25, 2005 at 11:26 PM EST

Crash is so far the best movie of the year (I have seen), also best screenplay although Batman Begins was amazing, too bad a big movie like this rarely gets oscar nods, Chris Nolan deserves it. Also too bad they were all supporting players in Crash, everyone was great.

Casey Fri, Nov 25, 2005 at 10:41 AM EST

Best Picture - "Crash"
Best Actor - Joaquin Phoenix
Best Actress - Joan Allen
Best Supporting Actor - Paul Giamatti
Best Supporting Actress - Toni Collette
Best Director - Sam Mendes
Best Original Screenplay - Crash
Best Adapted Screenplay - Jarhead

jose Thu, Nov 24, 2005 at 02:52 PM EST

best picture-CRASH
best actor-RUSSEL CROWE
best actress-????
supporting actress-THANDI NEWTON OR SANDRA BULLOK, CRASH
supporting actor-MATT DILLON, CRASH
best director-PAUL HAGGIS, CRASH

top 5 movies this year:
CRASH
A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE
THE 40 YEAR OLD VIRGIN
CINDERELLA MAN
WALK THE LINE
HARRY POTTER 4
SAW 2
BATMAN BEGINS
THE CONSTANT GARDNER
HUSTLE AND FLOW

jose Thu, Nov 24, 2005 at 02:37 PM EST

i think CRASH was a great movie and should get more than a few oscar nods. one of the best movies ive seen, terrance howard, Thandie Newton , sandra bullok, matt dillon, everyone was great.

Ron Eldred Mon, Nov 21, 2005 at 03:01 AM EST

I wish all the success for Good Night and Good Luck it is the smart, reviting, and important movie we dont see enough of. If I had a choice it would be nominated for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, and Best original Screenplay. But the truth is that it is just too small of a movie to be noticed by the academy. It is amazing how strong a year this is. The list of possible best picture nominations is endless.
1 Munich
2 Memoirs of a Geisha
3 Syriana
4 Good Night and Good Luck
5 Brokeback Mountain
6 All the Kings Men
7 The Constant Gardener
8 Walk the Line (Not as electric as Ray but very good)
9 Cinderella Man
10 King Kong (Not Likely but Has Potential)
11 The Libertine (Likely not because of its dirtyness)
12 Crash

And all these movies except for King Kong, Crash, and Memoirs of a Geisha have Best Actor potential too.

The Same goes for Best Director except for The Libertine.

This will be an unbelivable year of the smart pictures.
Key is to watch the Golden Globes because untill then the outlook of noms & winners will be cloudy.

Peter Sun, Nov 20, 2005 at 06:39 PM EST

There is no best actor race this year because Phillip Seymor Hoffman has already one. As for best actress i adore reese witherspoon but if the academy did not even nominate her for ELECTION then i dont see her winning for WALK THE LINE. Felicity Huffman can make space next to her emmy for her oscar. There is no way Thandie newton can be ignored for her powerful turn in crush. Would love to see terrence get a best actor nominatiion for HUSTLE AND FLOW but i dont see it happening however make space for him in supporting for CRASH. Yes CRASH was contrieved but it was necessary in order to protray race relations in America.

The Breakdown

Best Picture - Brokeback Mountain
Best Actor - Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
Best Actress - Felicity Huffman - Transamerica
Best Supporting Actress - Thandi Newton - Crash
Best Supporting Actor - Terrence Howard - Crash
Best Director - Rob Marshall - Memoirs of a Geisha

O Jay Sun, Nov 20, 2005 at 02:17 AM EST

This is according to what I have seen and believe in my opinion should get nominations: (* hoping to win)

Picture:
Walk the Line (*)
Cinderella Man
Constant Gardner
An Unfinished Life
Jarhead

Director:
Every Director for the Picture nominations
Constant Gardner (*)

Actor:
Joaquin Phoenix - Walk the Line
Russel Crowe - Cinderella Man
Bill Murray - Broken Flowers
Ralph Finnes - Constant Gardner (*)
Robert Redford - An Unfinished Life

Actress:
Gwenyth Paltrow - Proof
Joan Allen - Upside of Anger
Jennifer Lopez - An Unfinished Life (*)
Charlize Theron - North Country
Uma Thurman - Prime

Supporitng Actor:
Morgan Freeman - An Unfinished Life
Paul Giametti - Cinderella Man
Matt Dillon - Crash
Anthony Hopkins - Proof
Steve Martin - Shop Girl (*)

Supporting Actress:
Toni Collet - In Her Shoes
Renee Zellwegger - Cinderella Man
Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line
Sandra Bullock - Crash (*)
Rachel Weisz - Constant Gardner

Animation:
Corpse Bride (*)

I have never gone with the hype - even though I am more than positive none of my favorites will win. But I do go with talent and the ones I am hoping for deserve to be nominated and should win for their hard work and dedication.

Nancy Sat, Nov 19, 2005 at 03:06 PM EST

Best Picture : Cinderella Man
Best Actor - Russell Crowe - Absolutely amazing performance

Patrick Fri, Nov 18, 2005 at 12:23 PM EST

This to add to my post below. I should say that is only because I am campareing it to Raging Bull, Rocky and Million Dollar Baby.

Patrick Fri, Nov 18, 2005 at 12:21 PM EST

I know people are going to hate me after this but here it goes anyway. I loved the acting in Cinderella Man. the acting was flawless. I think Crowe diserves the oscar for this film more the he did in Gladiator. But it is not the best film of the year. Other then his and Paul Geomati's (I know I butchered that name) performances, the film is pretty forgetable. To tell you the truth, before I read the other posts, i forgot that I even saw that movie. Other then the boxing scenes, witch were few and far between, the film was boring, and depressing. In my opioion it is a wanna be meaningful boxing film, and its just not.

Susilawati Fri, Nov 18, 2005 at 11:37 AM EST

I can only remember two actors and one movie come Oscars time. RUSSELL CROWE, PAUL GIAMATTI, and CINDERELLA MAN!! Cinderella Man is definitely THE BEST movie I saw this year! The story is so simple, predictable, but powerful and very inspiring. Love the performances of all the actors, even the children were so good. Hopefully the Academy won't ignore this beautiful movie. Big kudos to Russell Crowe in particular! His performance is totally breathtaking as James Braddock, BRILLIANT! And Paul Giamatti is just equally powerful as Joe Gould. He even managed to steal some scenes. I just love this movie a lot and I will watch it again and again when the DVD comes. Good luck to Cinderella Man.

Blueberrily, Kimberly Thu, Nov 17, 2005 at 10:08 PM EST

I do believe Russell Crowe soared higher than his highest high with 'Cinderella Man' this year and we all know the Academy runs a year or two behind and since he deserved the Oscar for 'A Beautiful Mind' this should be his year. Soar Crowe Soar, Fly as high as you can, You are the man.... I am not sure when they will understand. You already knocked em to the moon and back with 'Cinderella Man', I have no idea how you can do any better. CROWE IS THE ACTOR OF THE YEAR PERIOD!
Kimberly, Blueberrily

Lisa Thu, Nov 17, 2005 at 08:29 PM EST

"The Proposition"...an Australian release...is probably one of the best films I have seen this year. Reminiscent of Sergio Leone, John Ford, and Eastwood's "Unforgiven"...with more grit and truthfulness about the old west (albeit Aussie Old West). Currently the film has been nominated for 12 awards at the AFI (the Australian version of the Oscars). I encourage ALL to see this film when its released in the United States (keeping fingers crossed)...

My Best Actor nods: Guy Pearce (Charlie Burns) in "The Proposition" (he's BRILLIANT! why he received no nod for "Memento" I'll never understand)....Russell Crowe "Cinderella Man", Philip Seymour Hoffmann (Truman Capote) "Capote" and Terence Howard "Hustle and Flow".

BARBARA JACKSON Thu, Nov 17, 2005 at 03:14 PM EST

CINDERELLA MAN SHOULD GET BEST MOVIE IT WAS DEFINETLY THE BEST MOVIE OF THE YEAR. RUSSELL CROWE SHOULD GET BEST ACTOR. HE WAS ROBBED FOR BEAUTIFUL MIND I HOPE THEY MAKE IT RIGHT THIS YEAR.

Mare Thu, Nov 17, 2005 at 11:36 AM EST

"Cinderella Man" has everything, great boxing action full of tension, and family life in jeopardy, fine direction, script and acting. Either Bierko, who was marvellous, or Giamatti, who is always marvellous, should get supporting actor. Crowe was of ofcourse perfect, every look and gesture evocative and familiar. And I LOVE Bruce Macgill!! Fine flick.

Elizabeth Thu, Nov 17, 2005 at 12:08 AM EST

Russell Crowe deserves the Oscar for his performance in Cinderella Man. The scene where he begs for money to pay his utility bills in order to bring his kids home is a performance that will be remembered beside Marlon Brando in Waterfront. It is the quality of Gladiator and more. This moving story of a family in the depression is so real your heart stops. Russell is the finest actor working today. His range is amazing.

TJ Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 10:03 PM EST

Best Picture: Crash, Rent, The New World, Good Night And Good Luck, Munich

Best Actor: Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man), George Clooney (Syriana), Joaquin Phoenix (Walk The Line), Viggo Mortensen (A History Of Violence), Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)

Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon (Walk The Line), Charlize Theron (North Country), Xiyi Xiang (Memoirs Of A Geisha), Renee Zellweger (Cinderella Man), Kiera Knightley (Pride And Prejudice)

Best Supporting Actor: Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man), Ed Harris (A History Of Violence), Peter Saarsgard (Jarhead), Geoffrey Rush (Munich), Christopher Plummer (The New World)

Best Supporting Actress: Rosario Dawson (Rent), Naomi Watts (King Kong), Sandra Bullock (Crash), Sissy Spacek (North Country), Laura Linney (The Squid And The Whale)

Best Original Screenplay: Crash, A History Of Violence, The New World, Good Night And Good Luck, Cinderella Man

Best Adapted Screenplay: War Of The Worlds, Rent, Jarhead, North Country, Munich

Best Director: Steven Spielburg (Munich), Peter Jackson (King Kong), Paul Haggis (Crash), George Clooney (Good Night And Good Luck), Ron Howard (Cinderella Man)

Best Animated Feature: Corpse Bride, Wallace & Gromit-Curse Of The Were Rabbit, Robots, Madagascar, Chicken Little

Best Documentary: March Of The Penguins, Murderball, Mad Hot Ballroom, Grizzly Man, The Aristocrats

Karen Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 08:47 PM EST

I certainly hope that the Academy remembers Cinderella Man at Oscar time! What a great film! Russell Crowe deserves another Oscar for his moving and outstanding performance. Like so many times before, he completely melts into his character and wears it like a glove! Jim Braddock would be so happy to see his life portrayed so convincingly and tenderly! Hey, Academy, don't let this one pass you by!!

Karen Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 07:44 PM EST

Cinderella Man had better be at the ball, that's all I have to say. Russell Crowe was, as always, superb as was Paul Giamatti. Although I have only seen previews, I'd bet that Russell's competition might come from his co-star from Gladiator, Joaquin Phoenix. I hope so: I've been a fan of Joaquin's since I saw him in that movie. I'd also say that David Straitharin nailed it, playing Edward R. Murrow, and George Clooney floored me with his direction of the film, "Good Night & Good Luck." I haven't seen any of the other contenders, yet, but I'd guess Philip Seymour Hoffman will also get a nod. What a year for bio-pics!

Louie Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 05:56 PM EST

Going STRICTLY on what I have seen and not what will come out the last week of December (something I hope MORE OF YOU WOULD DO), I would love to see the following recognized.

Catherine Keener - Best Supporting Actres (40 Yr. Old Virgin) She was so funny, sweet, sexy, and natural.

Matt Dillon - Best Supporting Actor (Crash) He was such a d*ck. But really good at it.

You me and everyone we know - Best Original Screenplay, Best Picture -- Such a terrific little movie. I sure hope it doesn't get lost among the bigger contenders.

And if (and that's a BIG IF) the hype is real, I'll definately be cheering for King Kong, The Producers, Brokeback Mountain, and Chronicles of Narnia.

Just pleeeeeeeease, NO MORE JAMIE FOXX!!!!

roberta Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 05:28 PM EST

Best pic I've seen this year, hands down, Cinderella Man. Moving, powerful, totally engaging. Made me want to cry, made me want to get in the ring, made me want to hug Russell Crowe. What an actor. In my opinion, Crowe was robbed of his Beautiful Mind oscar, grossly overlooked for last year's Master and Commander - can the academy seriously snub him yet again. Give that man his second oscar!

Mimi Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 04:48 PM EST

How can people "nominate" films that haven't even been released or seen yet? Doing that means people are using hype and PR to shape their opinions, not the actual quality of the film.

Russell Crowe was astoundingly good in The Cinderella Man, so good in fact, he may be overlooked for making it all seem so natural. But that's his genius. He disappears into character. You forget that he's acting. Each portrayal is a total departure from the others.

Joan Allen was amazing in The Upside of Anger. No simpering ingenue, she brings a subtle, yet mature command of her craft to each role.

David Strathairn was also excellent in Good Night.

Paul Giamatti was perfect in Cinderella Man.

DH Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 04:25 PM EST

CRASH was a terrific movie that should be remembered at Oscar time, but I'm really hoping the awards shows remember CINDERELLA MAN; it was wonderfully uplifting without getting sappy, and portrayed the suffering of regular folks during the Great Depression better than any film I've seen. Nods should go to Paul Giamatti and especially Russell Crowe, who yet again transformed himself to become James Braddock.

Sylvie Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 03:53 PM EST

Russell Crowe - Best actor
A great moment of pure emotion.
A seizing interpretation

Cinderella Man - Best picture
Paul Giammati -Best Supporting Actor -

Leona Johns Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 03:37 PM EST

Cinderella Man, too good to be passed over, no matter WHEN it was released. Russell Crowe deserves the oscar!!! Performance truly memorable!!!!

Patrick Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 03:36 PM EST

Bye the way, Bryon I couldn't agree with you more, Bill Murray should get a nod for Broken Flowers. But it aint going to happen. After he lost the Oscar for Lost in Translation he lambasted the Academy for it. And the Academy does hold grudges.

Ben Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 03:33 PM EST

If Rent won the Pulitzer and the Tony for Best Musical in 1996 how did its cast formulate in 1984?

Patrick Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 03:26 PM EST

Her is who I don't think or want to get nominated.

George Clooney: I think the film itself should get nominated, just not him. I love him as filmmaker and actor, I just don't like him as a person. There is just something about him that gets on my nervs.

Rent: I don't think so. First of all it has the original broadway cast which opened in 1984, playing people in their mid 20's, and they are how old. Second, the biggest star in the film is Rosario Dawson, who in my opinion is one of the worst actresses ever. Lastly, it's directed by the guy who dumbed down the first Harry Potter.

Jo Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 03:10 PM EST

Cinderella Man is the one. Great story, Best action, Oscar caliber acting by Russell Crowe and Paul Giammati.
Can't wait for the DVD so I can see it again..

Patrick Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 03:04 PM EST

I don't know why everybody is saying Eric Bana is a shoe-in for "Munich." Has anybody seen the any footage of the film? I didn't think so. And have you seen The Hulk, he was terrible. The only reason I think he may, and i emphsise may is because he was directed by Steven Spielberg.

Margaret Keppler Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 02:55 PM EST

Cinderella Man was a labor of intense heart and soul by both Ron Howard and Russell Crowe. Movies are not made with quality and genuine message that is evident to all that see the film. Next to borrowing Harry Potters Cloak of Invisibility we hope to see him on US shores to claim the prize rightfully his. Then maybe he will loan it to us the lowly fan so we can beat all the naysayers over the head with it chanting "I told you so"
Margaret Keppler Oregon, USA

Rossellarose Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 02:54 PM EST


Russell Crowe for Cinderella Man

Dee Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 12:12 PM EST

I hope this is the year of the minority actress and that there are surprises!

Memoirs of a Geisha will perhaps give three well known Asian actresses a chance to garner a nomination. The fact the Gong Li has never been nominated is a crying shame! Both Thandie Newton (seriously overlooked in the past for movies like Besieged and Beloved) and Terrance Howard should be nominated.

Others who may receive notice include Matt Dillon. Brokeback Mountain may garner nods: Heath Ledger is an exceptional actor. Michelle Williams is also quite good (phenominal performance in Me Without You) so it will not be surprising if they were nominated. I can't imagine Eric Bana not being nominated if Munich is good (he deserved a nomination for Troy). Neither Reese Witherspoon nor Joaquin Phoenix should be overlooked. Ian McDiarmid should also be nominated for completing the iconic role of Emperor Palpatine. Philip Seymour Hoffman and Felicity Huffman should be "shoo-ins".

Ben Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 11:40 AM EST

Hands Down, Best Actress race is over....hand it over to Felicity Huffman for Transamerica....one of the best performances since Meryl Streep in Sophie's Choice.

Winn Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 11:03 AM EST

I'm so glad someone mentioned Tom Wilkinson as a possible nominee for his amazing, multifaceted, infuriating and heartbreaking performance in "Separate Lies". Because of the nature of the film it will likely be overlooked, but he is so incredibly good it is ridiculous. I think it's too early to really predict with some of these films (especially "Munich", which was receiving buzz before it was even filmed!")but I know that there has been an embarrassment of riches in great male performances, from Wilkinson to Phillip Seymour Hoffman to Joaquin Phoenix to Viggo Mortenson to David Strathairn (yay!) and Jeff Daniels (and if Cillian Murphy is as good in "Breakfast on Pluto" as I'm hearing, put him in there too!). And as a long time Heath Ledger fan, I'm so excited to see he's finally found a role that displays the chops he showed years ago in the Aussie film "Two Hands". I only wish there were as many female performances to laud: Charlize Theron is good in "North Country" but the film is basically a Lifetime movie stretched to feature length; Claire Danes is lovely in "Shopgirl" but I don't know if the performance is quite resonant enough for the Best Actress category; please spare me the toothy Keira Knightley (so overrated, and give me the Colin Firth "Pride and Prejudice" any day), yay for the fantastic Joan Allen in "The Upside of Anger" and the amazing Felicity Huffman in "Transamerica" (so good and so truthful). The best female performances this year would be characterized as supporting roles, from Rachel Weisz to Thandie Newton to the tremendous Amy Adams. When we're stretching to include Gwyneth Paltrow's self-absorption and whining in "Proof" (and if you saw Mary-Louise Parker on Broadway you know this role can be played with humanity and layers, not just petulance and arrogant self-pity) and the usually wonderful Julianne Moore in an over-the-top performance in the schmaltzy "Prize-Winner of Defiance, Ohio", we need more strongly-written and vivid women's roles.

Mozz Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 10:42 AM EST

My favorite movie so far this year have been "A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE" and "CRASH" and both should definetely earn nods for some of its cast. As far as making predictions. I don't do that till I see the movies. There are always surprising entries that go on to win the little guy. I bet you this year will be one of those surprise years... since the quality of movies was really low.

I hold hope for ---
Walk the Line - Reese Witherspoon looks lovely in it. And Joaquin Phoenix is such an underrated talent.

Rent - I was never a fan of the stage show, but I don't underestimate the cultural phenomena it became. It feels a little dated right now. Most of the East Village where it took place is now some of the priciest and may I say nicest place to live. (I prefer it.)

Brokeback Mountain
TransAmerica
and Memoirs of a Geisha.

Jarhead was a big snore. and I expect much better from Jake Gyllenhal in Brokeback Mountain... other than that, I will make up my mind as I see the films.

cRAIG Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 10:05 AM EST

hey glenn. you need to see more movies if Crash was by far the best movie you've seen. granted, it's been a weak year (and decade) for film. but Crash was forced, over-the-top - even ridiculous at times. Sandra Bullock? Matt Dillon was ten times as good in Drugstore Cowboy. and the scene where Ryan Phillippe kills the guy he picked up? absurd...

Bryan Lowry Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 09:08 AM EST

Bill
Murray

hope Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 08:50 AM EST

Joaquin Phoeni: I haven't seen "Walk the Line" yet, but I can't imagine him not receiving a nomination. He is so wonderful in everything and this movie looks amazing.

Russell Crowe: How can he be ignored in "Cinderella Man? Though he is so head and shoulders above the crowd of actors, a nomination may miss him b/c he's expected to grind it out like a champion every time. Saw the movie twice.

Paul Giamatti: will win for Supporting Actor for this - b/c he should have been nominated for "Sideways" last year - this is part of the continuing mystical trend of actors being given consolation Oscars or noms for roles they did previously where they were deserved but received by more PC choices...example #1, Nicole Kidman received Best Actress for "The Hours", when she should have won for "Moulin Rouge" the year before - example #2, Renee Zellwegger received Best Supporting Actress for "Cold Mountain", when she should have won for "Chicago" the year before...

Brokeback Mountain: don't know if this will win anything, but I read the story and - heartbreaker. The whole gay cowboy thing, can't relate to, but this was a heartwrenching tale and I can see it winning something, maybe Larry McMurtry for adaptation.

Reese Witherspoon: always overlooked, a terrific actess, can't pick one role she's done I've ever been disappointed in - maybe she's too pretty, too perky to win a 'serious' award in Oscar-we-are-actors world

Mitchell Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 07:01 AM EST

Shopgirl is by far one of the best written pictures I've seen. Very funny and true to the book. I wouldn't count on a best actor Oscar for Steve nor a nomination, but he should be nominated for best screenplay. And for the love of all that's holy don't count out Claire Danes for best actress. She deserves a nomination if not the win. Hands down the best female performance on a realistic scale I've seen in years.

dave Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 06:43 AM EST

everyone seems to be leaving rent out of their lists. i saw an advanced screening, and i'm telling you - after you leave the theater, you won't be able to think of anything else but this movie.

Sean Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 06:38 AM EST

I'm not so sure yet. I have to see the movies first, but I think.....
Best Picture:
Match Point*
Brokeback Mountain
Munich
Rent (If it captures the same spirit as the stage show)
Capote

Best Direcotr:
Woody Allen (Match Point)*
Steven Speilberg (Munich)
Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Mike Newell (Harry Potter and The Goblet of Fire)
David Cronenberg (A HIstory of Violence)

Actor:
Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)*
Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
Tom Wilkinson (Seprate Lies)
Eric Bana (Munich)
Terrence Howard (Crash or Hustle and Flow)

Actress:
Scarlett JOhansen (Match Point
Felicty HUffman (Transamerica)
Radha Mitchell (Melinda and Melinda)
Joan Allen (The Upside of Anger)
Judi Dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents)

I also think Diane Keaton should be nominated for The Family Stone in the Supporting Actress race.


Dennis Wed, Nov 16, 2005 at 12:31 AM EST

I am excited that so many good films have been released so far, with many more to come out in the next month. It's hard to say predictions for certain films that I have not seen yet, because we all know that films we get excited about can disappoint. I would love for CRASH to get nods for Best Picture and realistically for Best Direction (Paul Haggis) Best Screenplay and Best Supporting Actress for Thandie Newton (she should just win already because the scene with her in the car accident is literally breathtaking; nobody else has given that kind of work). Also I would love to see nods for A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE (direction and screenplay) and SIN CITY for visual art direction.

Patrick McGee Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 11:52 PM EST

Know some of these won't happen, but I'm sticking by them.

BEST PICTURE
Memories of Geisha (Looks amazing)
Munich (Spielberg + series subject=OScar
The New World (This or A History of Violence)
Walk the Line (Johnny Cash, need I say more)

BEST DIRECTOR
Ang Lee- Brockback Mountain (Movie looks great)
Terrance Mallick- The New World (Not too sure)
Rob Marshall- Memories of Geisha
Mike Newell- Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
(Should have been nominated for Four Weddings and Funeral, pluse the new mobie Goblet of Fire looks fantastic)
Steven Spielberg- Munich (Spielber, need I say more)

BEST LEAD ACTOR
Ralph Finnese- The Constant Gardener (Amazing)
Phillip Seymour Hoffman- Capote (Amazing actor)
Tommy Lee Jones- Three Burials of Meliquades Estrada
Heath Ledger- Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix- Walk the Line

BEST LEAD ACTRESS
Judy Dench- Mrs. Henderson Presenst
Felicity Huffman- Transamerica
Charliez Theron- North Country
Reese Witherspoon- Walk the Line
Ziyi Zhang- Memories of Geisha

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
George Clooney- Goodnight and Good Luck
Jamie Foxx- Jarhead
Bob Hoskins- Mrs. Henderson Presents
Geoffrey Rush- Munich
Ken Watanabe- Memories Geisha

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Scarlet Johansson- Match Point
Catherine Keener- Capote
Gong Li- Memories Geisha
Francis McDermott- North Country
Uma Thurman- The Producers


TorontoTom Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 08:18 PM EST

Actor: Jake Gylanhaal, Heath Ledger, Ralph Fiennes, Joaquin Phoenix & (winner) Phillip Streep Hoffman
Actress: Charlize Theron, Keira Knightly, Joan Allen, Gwenyth Paltrow & (winner) Reese Witherspoon
Picture: Pride & Prejudice, Crash, Constant Gardener, Memoirs of a Geisha & (winner) Brokeback Mountain

Corran Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 06:30 PM EST

Cinderella was a late summer film, and it was neither box office success nor THAT big of critical acclaim. Crash I could see as a contender, as it had some terrific performances and plot elements. While the Constant Gardener was good, I do not believe it will be heavy enough to carry best picture category. Although, I do believe Fernando Mierelles has a shot for a two-fer. My predictions for Best Picture: Walk the Line, Brokeback Mountain, A History of Violence, The Producers, and Memoirs of a Geisha.

Julie Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 06:17 PM EST

I hope they remember "Cinderella Man" come Oscar time. It was easily one of the most overlooked films this year. I hope it will come in place of "The Constant Gardener" or "History of Violence", two of the most over-acclaimed films of 2005. I would LOVE to see Kevin Costner lauded for his turn in "Upside of Anger" but that just ain't gonna happen.

Jim Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 06:02 PM EST

Terrence Howard in 'Hustle and Flow' was absolutely mesmerizing. 'Crash' was involving but felt contrived and I haven't seen 'Brokeback' or 'Syriana' yet.

'The Constant Gardener' is the best picture I've seen although 'Jarhead' was pretty good. 'Cinderella Man' was too stiff, too rote for me.

I liked the work by Joan Allen and Charlize Theron as best actress, either Sandra Bullock or Thandie Newton for supporting for 'Crash.'

Supporting actor to Jamie Foxx for 'Jarhead.'

blah Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 05:40 PM EST

Also, how can so many people be saying what they think the Oscar noms should be, when most of the movies they are listing aren't even out yet? Just askin'.

blah Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 05:39 PM EST

Is that really Eric Bana? He looks terrible! Where's the hunk of manliness who I saw in Troy and The Hulk? I miss that hunk. :(

Justin Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 05:14 PM EST

BEST PICTURE:
-Brokeback Mountain
-The Producers
-Munich
-Memoirs of a Geisha
-Walk the Line
(Winner being either Brokeback Mountain, Munich, or Walk the Line)

BEST ACTOR:
-Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
-Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)
-Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
-George Clooney (Syriana)
-Viggio Mortensen (A History of Violence)
(Joaquin will win)

BEST ACTRESS:
-Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
-Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
-Charlize Theron (North Country)
-Joan Allen (The Upside of Anger)
-Claire Danes (Shopgirl)
(My heart is really really really pulling for Reese to win but somethings telling me that Felicity will prove to be pretty tough competition. As of now though, Id say Reese will win. Her performance in WALK THE LINE is inexplicabably phenomenal. Oscar-worthy in every aspect.)

I think that Thandi Newton will take Best Supporting Actress for her astounding performance in CRASH and that Paul Giamatti will finally win an Oscar (although it may be for a supporting role) for his deeply emotional and funny and heart-warming performance in CINDERELLA MAN.

And, expect Rob Marshall to be accepting an Oscar for his direction of MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA. I know friends who saw it and thought it was a beautiful, sometimes TOO graceful a film but his direction was right on the money.

Michael Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 04:34 PM EST

From what I've seen so far this year I would nominate these films and actors:
Best Picture:Capote, Pride and Prejudice*, The Squid and the Whale, Crash, The Constant Gardner.

Best Actor:Philip Seymore Hoffman(Capote)*, Jeff Daniels(The Squid and the Whale), Jake Gyllenhall(Jarhead), Ralph Feinnes(The Constant Gardner),Russell Crowe(Cinderella Man)

Best Actress:Joan Allen*(The Upside Anger),Keira Knightley(Pride and Prejudice),Charlize Theron(North Country),Gywenth Paltrow(Proof)

Supporting Actor:Peter Sarsgaard*(Jarhead),Jamie Foxx(Jarhead),Matt Dillon(Crash),Donald Sutherland(Pride and Prejudice),Kevin Costner(The Upside of Anger),Paul Giammati(Cinderella Man)

Supporting Actress:Brenda Blethyn*(Pride and Prejudice), Laura Linney(The Squid and the Whale),Frances McDormand(North Country), Shirley McClain(In Her Shoes),Sandra Bullock(Crash),Hope Davis(Proof),Amy Adams(Junebug)

Nominations for movies I haven't seen yet:
Best Picture:Brokeback Mountain, Walk the Line
Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix(Walk the Line),Heath Ledger(Brokeback Mountain),Johnny Depp(The Libertine)
Best Actress:Reese Witherspoon(Walk the Line)
Supporting Actress:Michelle Williams(Brokeback Mountain)

Middento Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 03:37 PM EST

I have a good feeling that Brokeback Mountain (which I've seen -- it's excellent and I have already uttered the words I never thought I'd say: "Heath Ledger deserves an Oscar for this"), Syriana and Good Night and Good Luck will get appropriately awarded among the shoo-ins of the season like Munich. I also think that Hoffman and Huffman will get noms (which makes me worried that Letterman will host and say "Hoffman! Huffman!" over and over...)

My only concern is that A History of Violence might get overlooked, which was such a powerful, amazing little film on all sides. Plus, it would be nice to see the guy who did Scanners to get an Oscar nod.

Robert Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 03:12 PM EST

By picks... so far.

Best Picture: Junebug*, The Squid and the Whale, Pride & Prejudice, The Upside of Anger, Capote

Best Director: David Cronenberg, George Clooney, Gregg Araki*

Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman*, David Strathairn, Nicolas Cage, Lou Taylor Pucci, Cillian Murphy, Peter Falk, Jake Gyllenhaal

Best Actress: Joan Allen*, Julianne Moore, Gwyneth Paltrow, Charlize Theron, Felicity Huffman, Jennifer Connelly, Keira Knightley, Radha Mitchell, Glenn Close

Best Supporting Actor: Mickey Rourke*, Clifton Collins Jr., Matt Dillon, Terence Howard, Paul Giamatti, William Hurt, Peter Sarsgaard, Tom Arnold, Kevin Costner, Eugene Hutz

Best Supporting Actress: Amy Adams*, Maria Bello, Rachel Weisz, Hope Davis, Shirley MacLaine, Meryl Streep, Bonnie Hunt, Sandra Bullock

Anne Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 03:03 PM EST

Granted most of the Oscar contenders will come out in the last weeks of Dec., but based upon what's already come out and buzz I really hope that CRASH gets the nominations that it deserves. In particular, Matt Dillon and Terrence Howard were incredible. I also thought the score was fantastic. It's one of the few movies that I have ever seen that really packed a genuine emotional punch.
I am also a huge fan of Amy Adams in Junebug. She plays a ridiculous character without making Ashley into a caricature. The script was great, too.
Hopefully, these older films (along with Cinderella Man) will still be in the minds of voters come Oscar season.

Rich Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 02:30 PM EST

While there are a batch of strong contenders on the horizon, so I'm not making any predictions yet, I will very disappointed (even disillusioned) if Crash and a hearty bunch of its cast members aren't nominated come Oscar time. It was one of the most powerful, thought-provoking, and different movies I have ever seen. Even though I haven't viewed it since August (for the second time mind you), I am still thinking about it -- and, still moved by it.

Bob G. Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 01:41 PM EST

Best Picture - Brokeback Mountain
Best Actor - Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
Best Actress - Felicity Huffman - Transamerica
Best Supporting Actress - Thandi Newton - Crash
Best Supporting Actor - Paul Giammati - Cinderella Man
Best Director - Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain

Julia Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 01:37 PM EST

I cannot wait to see Brokeback Mountain, The Family Stone, Syriana, The New World, and King Kong, but as of right now, these are my favorites (Not that I'm expecting all, or any of these to necessarily get nods):

Actor- Ralph Fiennes (Constant Gardener) and Viggo Mortensen (A History of Violence)

Actress- Joan Allen (The Upside of Anger) and Charlize Theron (North Country)

Director- George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck) and David Cronenberg (A History of Violence)

Picture- Good Night, and Good Luck, A History of Violence, The Constant Gardener, Crash

djm Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 01:05 PM EST

I agree that "Crash" was/is somewhat overrated. I liked some of the performances (and they should be recognized), but the movie itself was (to me) preachy, annoying, and a little too convenient. I rarely like movies where ALL if the characters are supposed to be strangers yet their lives are always crossing. I have seen it done well, but not in this movie. My hope is that "Brokeback Mountain" will be as good as it is being hyped as being and that it goes on to win many awards. I loved the story and hopefully they have done something brave and stayed true to the words. I also hope Phillip Seymour Hoffman gets a nom (and win) - he is a truly amazing actor. I also loved Filicity Huffman's EMMY speach so I'd love to see her win an Oscar. Thandi Newton in "Crash" should get the supporting actress nom and I would love to see Terrence Howard nominated for either "Crash" or "Hustle & Flow" - he was/is truly the breakout star of the year (for me).

Glenn Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 12:33 PM EST

I believe the Academy will remember Cinderella Man come nomination time, so don't count Crowe, Zellwegger, and definitely not Paul Giamatti, who is due this time around. The DVD comes out very soon just in time for voters to remember how strong a picture it was. Plus its a bold Hollywood-style pic that they mostly approve of

Murillo Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 12:25 PM EST

Best Picture: Crash, Brokeback Mountain, Syriana, The Constant Gardener, Memoirs of a Geisha

Best Actor: Heath Ledger (Brokeback M.), Jake Gyllenhall (Jarhead), Joaquin Phoenix(Walk the Line), Ralph Fienes (The Const.), Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)

Best Actress: Charlize Theron (North Country), Felicity Huffman (Transamerica), Reese Witherspoon(Walk the Line), Claire Danes (Shopgirl), Rachel Weiszman (Constant Gardener)

Glenn Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 12:07 PM EST

Best Actor: Heath Ledger, David Straitharn, Phillip Seymour-Hoffman, Russel Crowe, Joaquin Phoenix

Vivi Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 12:03 PM EST

"Crash" is not an overrated movie. It's by far the best movie I've seen this year. So many actors from the cast did such a great job.

Also, I think Terrence Howard should be rewarded at least a nomination for his work in either "Crash" or "Hustle and Flow". I'm glad that he's finally getting the recognition he deserves.

As for the females, this is Reese's year. With a close runnerup coming from Charlize Theron.

Eric Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 10:55 AM EST

I'm holding out a lot of hope for "Brokeback Mountain". I think seeing those cow-pokes a-kissin' will make everyone cheer.. (or at least me..)

cRAIG Tue, Nov 15, 2005 at 10:53 AM EST

as long as crash is ignored, i'll be happy.
easily the most overrated film of the year...


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