The Razzies: Which bad movies will/should win at this weekend's most important awards show

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Worst Supporting Actor

The Contenders:
David Hasselhoff, Piranha 3DD
Taylor Lautner, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn — Part 2
Liam Neeson, Battleship / Wrath of the Titans
Nick Swardson, That’s My Boy
Vanilla Ice, That’s My Boy

Should win: Piranha 3DD was a lame, self-referential horror movie that verged on spoof but didn’t even have the decency to be amusing; David Hasselhoff’s appearance as himself — complete with a nod to his 2007 drunk home video — was embarrassing enough to warrant a cheap statuette.

Will win: The temptation to give a Razzie to Vanilla Ice will likely be too great to resist — even though by most accounts, he was actually decent in That’s My Boy.

Worst Screen Couple

The Contenders:
Any combination of two cast members from Jersey Shore, The Three Stooges
Mackenzie Foy and Taylor Lautner, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn — Part 2
Robert Pattinson and Kristen Stewart, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn — Part 2
Tyler Perry and his drag get-up, Madea’s Witness Protection
Adam Sandler and Leighton Meester, Andy Samberg, or Susan Sarandon, That’s My Boy

Should win: Breaking Dawn — Part 2 is the first film in Razzie history to have two couples nominated in this category — listless Edward and Bella and sexy werewolf Jacob and the child he loves. (Yep, still gross.) Based on sheer ick factor, Lautner and Foy are miles ahead of the competition.

Will win: Just two years ago, the Jersey Shore kids would have had this one locked down. But since their relevance has faded, Sandler and co. will probably notch another victory here.

Worst Screen Ensemble

The Contenders:
The Oogieloves in the Big Balloon Adventure
That’s My Boy
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn — Part 2
Madea’s Witness Protection

Should win: Again, it is impossible to overstate how utterly, utterly weird The Oogieloves is. For playing characters named Bobby Wobbly, Lola Sombrero, Lero Sombrero, Rosalie Rosebud, Milky Marvin, and Dotty Rounder, stars Cary Elwes, Jamie Pressly, Christopher Lloyd, Toni Braxton, Chazz Palminteri, and Cloris Leachman, respectively, should be ashamed and rewarded.

Will win: Though That’s My Boy could pull an upset, Razzie voters won’t want to miss their last chance to honor the Twilight crew.

Worst Screenplay

The Contenders:
Atlas Shrugged: Part II
That’s My Boy!
A Thousand Words
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn — Part 2

Should win: Atlas Shrugged is a movie for Ayn Rand fanatics, by Ayn Rand fanatics — but anyone else may not be able to make sense of what’s happening onscreen, at least during the rare moments when plot interrupts another long monologue about the glories of capitalism.

Will win: Sandler didn’t write That’s My Boy, but his presence in the film makes it this category’s frontrunner. Twilight‘s Melissa Rosenberg also has a shot here, since it’s her fourth consecutive nomination — but if anything, she should get a medal for transforming the slow-paced Twilight books into serviceable movies.

Worst Remake, Rip-off or Sequel

The Contenders:
Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance
Madea’s Witness Protection
Piranha 3DD
Red Dawn
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn — Part 2

Should win: In terms of pure inessentiality, nothing can touch Red Dawn — a film that never may have been released at all if its cast didn’t happen to include stars of The Hunger Games and The Avengers. The movie’s post-production villain switch from China to North Korea — its producers were nervous about offending the emerging Chinese market — also earns it a place in the hall of shame.

Will win: It’s Breaking Dawn‘s to lose, especially as a consolation prize if That’s My Boy gets Worst Picture. Think hearing this news might finally get Kristen Stewart to smile?

Follow Hillary on Twitter

Read more:
EW Special Coverage: Oscars 2013
‘Top Chef’ Oscar recipes: Silver Linings Pasta, Zero Dark ‘Tinis and more
Oscars 2013: Behind the Scenes, Day 2

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