Feb 24 2009 12:30 AM ET

Oscars: Whose predictions were on the money?

Categories: Oscars 2009

Who cleaned up big in his or her Oscar pool last night? Well, Stephen Colbert, for one.

Freaky! Also cleaning up? Our very own Dave Karger, who got both screenplay picks right, too (among others). In a blow to our benevolent geek overlords, though, Nate Silver only went 4/6, which means we have way more time before the robots take over, so we can all relax a tiny bit. Silver had picked Taraji P. Henson for Best Supporting Actress and Mickey Rourke for Best Actor (join the club!); he writes that he should have tweaked the model for supporting actress to account for the fact that Winslet had been nominated in the supporting category for other awards. As for Penn’s win, well, no amount of tweaking can really predict the whims of the Academy.

Et tu, PopWatchmen?

Comments (1-19) of 19 Add your comment

  • BenG

    If we’re talking Best Pic, Actress, Actor, Supporting Actor/Actress, Director and both screenplays? I went 7/7. The only categories I missed were sound editing, animated short and foreign film. Israel was robbed!

  • Amy

    I don’t think there were any surprises in the major categories. Some upsets maybe, but they were still pretty obvious. So it’s not too shocking if most people predicted correctly.

  • Chris

    I was on the money by correclty guessing 22/24 categories! I won the office pool and the party pool.

  • Anonymous

    Penn’s win wasn’t a whim, his was the better performance and Milk was overall a much better film

  • Jason

    I cleaned up in my pool. I only missed Foreign film, Documentary short and Sound Mixing. I slaughtered my competition.

  • Clayton

    I got 19/24, got second place in the pool I was in.

  • Leticia

    Jason: I tied with you. In exactly the same categories.

  • Danny

    20/24, with the big ones all correct. I got a DVD out of it!

  • Rory

    I got 20/24 – I slaughtered the competition!

  • justin edwards

    I got 19/24 and won the pool I was in. It was the Forign film, Sound mixing, Docu. short, Ani. short, and cinematography that I missed.

  • dhjdtuiku

    milk sucked. ;)

  • Jessica

    21/24! But I did put down Maison and Departures as possible upsets, so I feel like I should win brownie points there. The only one that completely threw me was Sound Mixing. But happy that Slumdog came out of left field for more of a sweep.

  • kristen

    21/24! I missed animated short, sound mixing and foreign film. But swept everything else and won my office pool!

  • Anonymous

    20/24 and won the dorm prize. yay! 2 dvds, popcorn, candy, muffins, and a breakfast loaf all in a pink basket. got to love college.

  • jason

    21/24 both sound categories and foreign film.

  • pilot

    23/24- foreign language was my only mistake. waltz with brashir is an amazing film and deserved the oscar!

  • Meier

    I got my usual 18 out of 24. I should’ve listened to all those Man on Wire nuts and gone with Sean Penn like my gut instructed. And how the hell did I get Sound Editing correct and Sound Mixing wrong WITHOUT picking the same film for both???

  • Adrienne Jenkins

    The Oscars prediction that was on the money for Best Picture were the folks that attended the all day movie marathon. I hope AMC consider a redux. For $30 you went to the theater and watched all 5 nominees. They predicted Slumdog and even sent out a press release.
    http://www.squidoo.com/oscars-winners-best-picture

  • V

    Ha! Looks like Sound Mixing was the one a lot of people missed. 20/24 here: I missed that one, Documentary Short (didn’t see any of them), Foreign Film (should have picked “Departures” which I didn’t see but my gut told me it would be the upset), and Best Actor (voted with my heart for Mickey, even though I kinda knew Penn would take it. He would have been my pick if Rourke hadn’t been in the mix).

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