Jul 18 2005 09:32 PM ET

It's never too early for Oscar predictions!

Filed under: Movies and tagged: ,

162421__geisha_l_1I don’t know about you, but I got crushed like a bug in last year’s office Oscar pool. But not to worry, I’ve been watching my carbs, running five miles a week, and reading awards guru Dave Karger’s ”preposterously early look” at the 2006 Oscar frontrunners in the July 22 issue of Entertainment Weekly.

Somehow, Dave fails to mention Tara Reid’s taut horror vehicle Alone in the Dark among the contenders (it must’ve slipped his mind), but he gives the lowdown on 15 other movies that are expected to get a big push from their respective studios, including Memoirs of a Geisha (starring Ziyi Zhang, left), Brokeback Mountain, Jarhead, The Producers, and Broken Flowers. Which of his early picks do you think is most likely to take home top honors come March 5 of next year?

Comments (28 total) Add your comment
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  • Lisa

    My dark horse pick for a nomination: Miranda July’s brilliantly offbeat “Me and You and Everyone We Know” for Best Screenplay. I know, I know, it’s probably a longshot that any Academy member will have even seen this obscure film but, in my opinion, this screenplay deserves some Oscar-level acknowledgement.

  • mittens

    Geisha
    harry Potter
    king Kong
    Me and you and everyone else we know
    The New World

  • Adam

    I thnik that Crasg may get alot of nominations, hopefully Sandra Bullock will walk away with the best actress award, it is about time she was recognised by Oscar!

  • Tammy

    I think the Johnny Cash biopic Walk the Line should fair well in nominations particularly for Joaquin and Reese.

  • Casey

    Cinderella Man
    Broken Flowers
    The Constant Gardener
    Walk the Line
    Match Point

  • Casey

    Cinderella Man
    Broken Flowers
    Memoirs of Geisha
    Match Point
    The Constant Gardener

  • Casey

    Cinderella Man
    Broken Flowers
    The Producers
    Match Point
    The Constant Gardener

  • michael

    Memoirs of a Geisha
    Crash
    The Constant Gardener
    The New World
    Walk the Line

  • Michael

    Actress:
    Joan Allen – Upside of Anger
    Ziyi Zhang – Memoirs of a Geisha
    Charlize Theron – North Country
    Gwyneth Paltrow – Proof
    Reese Witherspoon – Walk the Line

  • Michael

    Supporting Actress:
    Gong Li – Memoirs of a Geisha
    Toni Collete – In Her Shoes
    Rachel Weisz – The Constant Gardener
    Sandra Bullock – Crash
    Frances Mcdormand – North Country

  • O Jay

    Here are my strong predictions: (My choices are *)
    Best Picture:
    Cinderella Man
    Memoirs of Geisha*
    Broken Flowers
    The Constant Gardener
    Walk the Line
    Best Actor:
    Joaquin Phoenix – Walk the Line
    Robert Redford – An Unfinished Life
    Bill Murray – Broken Flowers*
    Russell Crowe – Cinderella Man
    Ralph Fiennes – The Constant Gardener
    Best Actress:
    Joan Allen – Upside of Anger (personally didn’t like)
    Jennifer Lopez – An Unfinished Life*
    Gwyneth Paltrow – Proof
    Ziyi Zhang – Memoirs of Geisha
    Reese Witherspoon – Walk the Line
    Supporting Actor:
    Anthony Hopkins – Proof*
    Morgan Freeman – An Unfinished Life
    Supporting Actress:
    Renee Zellwegger – Cinderella Man
    Rachel Weisz – The Constant Gardener*
    Sandra Bullock – Crash

  • G

    I assume it will easily win for best special effects, but here’s my long-shot: Ian McDiarmid deserves a best-supporting actor nod for Star Wars Episode III. The man just chews the scenery to pieces in this film, and gives up a Shakespearian-level depth to his performance.

  • Matthew Baldwin

    What about Philip Seymour Hoffman in Capote?

  • Anna

    How about screenplays?
    My vote is for Woody Allen’s Match Point.

  • Rod

    Not sure if it will win an Oscar… but I think North Country is a strong contender in a few of the categories. Charlize Theron has yet another powerful performance portraying a victim of sexual harrassment in a small mining town. It is difficult to predict movies without seeing them. Alexander was a huge disappointment. Is Memoirs of a Geisha another Crouching Tiger? Will Munich live up to Spielberg’s excellence as with Schindler’s List… yet another Jewish theme. Neither Memoirs nor Munich have been released in theatres, so we will see what happens at the box office, which could certainly hurt any chances for wins on Oscar night.

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